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冷风说币：OP暴涨50% 冷风昨天专门提示 你抓住了吗？ 2022.08.04
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市场消息
环球网报道，美国众议院议长佩洛西于北京时间8月3日17时53分左右搭机离开台湾飞往韩国。
美元、美债、美军是美国霸权的基础，当前由于华尔街的全球金融收割计划遇到了强大的阻力，因此美国对外政策日趋激进，美元的军事化特征也特别明显。
自美国拱火俄乌战争后，导致大量欧洲资本流入美国，温顺的欧罗巴小绵羊被薅的体无完肤。然而由于东方大国的战略定力，打乱了华尔街这波全球收割计划，现在他们正试图在东亚挑起地缘风险，想通过台海危机的传导制造新的金融危机，以达成华尔街全球收割的目的。
根本原因在于，大中华区包括大陆与中国的港澳台，是美元当前最大的蓄水池，如果美元失去这一蓄水池，即便美国将印度与越南等国家打造为新的生产国，其货币容量也远远达不到大中华区的水平，因此美元一旦失去大中华区这个蓄水池，不仅美元的国际地位要大打折扣，同时美债的发行能力也将步入危机，所以美国在台海投入了很大的精力，因为这一地区攸关着美元的成败，攸关美国经济的兴衰。
得宝岛者得天下，台湾问题已经成为了中美战略竞争的一个“劫”，佩洛西窜访，意味着中美之间的政经军关系开始全面调整。
预计台海紧张局面会维持一段时间，这种地缘风险很容易给金融市场带来扰动，因此加强风控是有必要的。
行情分析
BTC短线支撑22000-22500美元，短线压力23500-24000美元。美三大股指涨跌互现，外部环境一般，大饼受制于23500美元的压力，今晨没有延续昨天晚上的反弹，出现震荡行情。比特币昨天因为消息面告一段落的原因，没有盘外压制的情况下做，不意外的反弹了一波，还是上涨到了23500的压力位，凌晨再次向下也可能是因为美联储再次发表鹰派声明的原因，但是整体趋势还是在区间内震荡，冷风认为没什么大问题。冷风还是维持原来的观点，大饼这波回调无论是空间，还是时间，都接近尾声了。在22000美元左右只要企稳，就可以波动做多，止损位放在21500美元。个人认为大饼八月份仍会有一次冲高机会，高点应该在25000-28000美元。技术方面，昨天破坏下降通道，转为箱体震荡，震荡比较厉害，建议放弃中间不确定的小单，依照支撑压力进行高抛低吸。逢低可以布局一些强势的现货，依照支撑做单带好止损即可。
ETH短线支撑1540-1580美元，短线压力1650-1700美元以太坊昨日呈现梯形上涨结构，走势还是强于大饼，以太走的越好，市场希望越大，这波以太利好带起的行情现在看来还没有结束，操作方面只要跟大饼同步操作即可，大饼属于箱体震荡，以太可能就是z型走势。建议按照大饼的节奏抄底。主流币跟随大饼波动，按照大饼节奏操作。重点关注uni,sushi。
山寨币三个原则，大饼稳，板块热，龙头强。冷风认为山寨币炒作有二点，一是大饼要稳。二是要抓住主线。冷风一再强调，存量资金搏弈，局部式行情，而这局部就是山寨币。 冷风认为只要大饼稳定，山寨币才会有表现。今天大饼震荡，不是好的做多环境，大家还是要小心点为好，今天重点关注DEFI板块的走势，重点币种near,perp和ens。冷风在昨天的推荐里专门提到了op，在之前的文章里也多次提及，请各位记住，炒新不炒旧，买强不买弱！ 来源：金色财经 |
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