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[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
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[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
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[lastpost] => 2798799 期权数据显示,比特币到6月底有30%的概率跌破8万美元。(转) 1768904367 小作文
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。 % l- D$ d3 Y5 z( l& y* w
- P$ E3 C n$ U% `+ g1 X5. 废话的不对称原则% Y! ^$ W* e, g8 ~; u. J. ]1 {
反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。
6 E! b. h. [* G D/ X
, \' f$ u4 O! y$ i {- w回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。
6 ?, U, ~) r2 ]7 c/ k
- b" a9 S F! t8 n2 h# b写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。) h/ }. X# D1 u6 w- P6 ^8 P
# T+ l4 {: A* L- L/ ^/ q; f: z" a w: N
每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。7 }' p9 P8 J2 K3 y8 X
) e8 J2 `* Z; _* z* b而对抗它们需要太多的精力。
% E% q9 I* j- o! x, L% ~% j" w) w* f# }7 F; p$ ]- [6 g2 j
6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)
) S C; | H. j) x8 q被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。5 T. _& t. F0 w
0 x! I; ]$ \! H1 ^2 _0 g
不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。2 S# K* e' P7 X: W
' s3 `- n5 ~& ]; a) h
因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。
, n3 C/ n* n9 a* K y. u! m" b! @, W" g( H* X5 W' X2 e+ x
想象一下罕见事件:- c; N& V/ v; _4 `/ W8 ` @ c
# E- d; \! S9 _0 G' u L( |4 D
• 中本聪的钱包苏醒
# b4 \, C' B! V
# o6 w% k. l5 e6 B( ^" `4 I• 核打击
# F0 I8 E" h- P3 }3 s, _* l W+ M& d/ T
我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!% [" h4 B5 m' ]# @- h" ^! K
9 U' U0 `3 W. ?0 I
7.二八定律
7 t6 L8 @" l) [$ }# y在币圈:
. \3 h' K) X: F, @/ ?& T! Z4 I; M
! {. m9 o* P, `1 V1 l80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。! {* N$ ?% a+ a H% G2 C5 V' ^
' @( G; K% ~4 c# k& ?0 q80%的利润被20%的人拿走。 ~' o5 P" } j) ^( W
* B0 z8 p2 N# k' h我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。, ?+ w: W& M7 n8 x8 j1 O
- n: x0 W+ {/ r. s- f# K
8.网络效应
/ s) U0 F; V, Y* R8 |产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。
; a( H/ g# k& Y# e3 i* Y, M6 {
9 h1 z R' I* @# K想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?" G) p8 S' h- Y$ c( c: c- y$ x6 q4 `
, ?. @9 y" s/ V/ i一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。
* w/ P, {' E- S% b+ a$ k4 o
7 I0 w; t+ l9 N# J$ ~( a: g. p投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。/ `4 l A+ |3 `! w9 i7 v
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