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DB的魅力在于,有赢有输,对于赢家来说,一夜翻身,不要太爽。
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就算输一次,还有打缆的方式,不断加倍,保证盈利。! @; {2 F* M9 Z
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真是富贵在天,生死有命。
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7 H1 Z+ Y6 U1 @" d9 S) U于是我假设赔率1:1,自己推演了一番。* o$ J$ A% i* G: Y7 N( V
r* w8 L; c9 b, K8 N/ f# a2 `
有一些基本事实:
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1,独立性:每次DB都是独立事件,这次赢和下次输完全不相关。2 k6 I X* c. x0 b; F, J3 Q2 q. Z" P
* g$ E) R- S& e1 D2 W) @3 D% }( m5 E2,大数定律不适用:抛硬币的次数越多,正面和反面各自出现的次数就越接近。但是要做上千上万次实验才会使其非常接近。2 {4 e; |4 Z; |8 I
8 _$ A! a' e1 U& F有一些基本方法:' T/ \0 m9 I+ h& i% _' M
+ |! ^) G& v4 H# n
1,打缆:输一次加注一次,假设第一次输1000,下次押2000可能盈利1000,再输,下4000保证盈利1000,以此类推。. B3 [2 k) z5 t' f6 D, c. b! z T) ?3 E) M
4 ]! l6 Q, H( \& P: p
有一些心理规律:" E1 N9 r/ p A- R
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(此处假设6次是因为,正规赌场为了保证盈利,只给你6次机会)
" |2 F3 w% r1 O* }! k+ o; P) I" f( y2 S
" }- J/ U. P2 i$ |1,我们可能连续赢钱,假设我们连续6次,当我们连续赢钱的时候,总觉得下次就要亏了,信心递减,所以很可能不断地减少下注,1000,800,600,400,200,100,总计盈利3100块: x1 B; t& U2 \. k
7 y3 {7 X3 L1 H. x+ |8 a% x8 j
2,我们可能连续输钱,假设我们连续6次,当我们连续输钱的时候,总觉得下次就要赢了,信心渐增,所以可能不断地加倍的下注,1000,2000,4000,8000,16000,32000,总计亏损63000块" I5 N" Z# [( g9 J0 o* y6 U4 r
) ~1 Q* Z8 w( L) \2 [0 ?(很明显,都是连续6次,概率近乎相等,但盈利或亏损金额却完全不对等;再者,第六次下注32000,只是为了盈利1000块,32000对1000) |
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老哥这样的盈利也是特别让我嫉妒啊,到底是怎样做到的 |
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方法最后一段话觉得是有感觉的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟时运太差了。 |
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