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[虚拟币交流]
比特币2023年上半年跑赢68.8%的加密货币基金（转载）
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近期，多家机构的报告都对比特币的走势作出乐观判断，如老牌交易所Bitfinex曾在上
8 m/ E6 ^4 \9 Z- Z- c6 T" G# g$ M周的研报指出比特币的抛压持续减小，已出现牛市信号。
8 F9 f2 r( m0 t* n& m" I但与此同时，加密货币基金似乎并未随着比特币的上涨而在绩效上大获成功，投资机构21e6 Capital AG就发布报 F; ?8 o6 T" B# J( R' |
告指出当前加密基金领域存在的系列问题。: H% K/ O4 `; P- ?7 n. m1 G5 ?
比特币2023年上半年跑赢68.8%的加密货币基金
8 U+ I0 n) Q; p! T, X+ i: l5 t; o1 M# ]21e6 Capital AG的营销主管Maximilian Bruckner指出，比特币HODL战法(买入现货并长期持有)在2023年上半
; I3 m; Y8 i/ Y" Q+ |年的收益率表现优于68.8%加密货币基金。# a# Y# a- t9 Z
数据显示，2023年上半年加密货币基金的平均回报率为15.2%，但BTC的涨幅约84%，整整高了5倍以上：今年所
1 d' P& i2 ?& @+ w t% L7 |有加密货币基金策略都取得了积极的成果。但相对于比特币，它们表现不佳，尤其是那些大量接触山寨币、期货
; U% e8 T, s9 b: l" X4 @7 J或强烈依赖动量信号的货币。
) |# U4 M. M( l& _2 f* v% M0 J" T按照过往历史，报告指出在此前的牛市中，加密货币基金的表现通常会优于比特币，但Bruckner认为以下几点原
+ b0 l) a9 y# K8 V7 u$ z$ t1 V! [4 W因的出现，改变了这个现象：, V6 O: z4 `- R* z; I
监管机构加强压力、及充满挑战的市场环境
4 O1 @% i3 q7 D投资表现落后于比特币的竞争币，拖累绩效
1 U" w; M$ i$ ?7 ]1 t基金出现风险厌恶情绪，2022年底起开始普遍持有大量现金并观望
' g( k8 l: U1 m" `) W2022年加密货币交易所FTX倒闭带来的消极情绪，尚未完全被消化
3 w' u, V# i$ J6 O- |6 ^不过Bruckner仍对这些基金未来的发展表示看好，虽然它们在上半年并未跑赢比特币的涨幅，但未来依旧有重新% Y; m% Q: j2 [$ j' M9 I- _* m" O
大规模押注加密货币、并迎来复合成长的可能性：投资者情绪较2023年上半年略有改善，这表明一些基金可能很
4 y: h0 `7 t y* z' u3 P1 C ~快就会开始向加密货币领域注入更多现金。2 g5 E* h% _( T/ @
G* Q1 X( p$ t9 l/ h) K; ~3 l4 q6 G' Q |
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