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[虚拟币交流]
SOL两周涨48%、稳守32美元！VanEck：乐观预测7年内破3千（30日转）
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以太坊竞争对手、高速公链Solana的原生代币SOL近期势如破竹，过去两周涨幅达
* `" g! x& x: d5 ?, }48.6%，而正当币价稳守32美元上方之际，资产管理公司VanEck预测指出，在最乐观的情况下，SOL将有望在7
6 X) J# C) ]$ \& c; c9 ~年内飙涨到3,211美元。# Y R: ]3 x H. q" m: U' b9 j R3 Q
VanEck在上周发表的报告中尝试将「VanEck标准化估值框架」套用在Solona身上，最终得以估算出SOL在多种
( d: C6 B; C8 z! s情景下的目标价位。根据这份报告，到2030年，SOL基本上可以达到335美元；但若面临熊市则可能会跌至9.81
3 m5 [( [; T7 q3 G( t美元。
* [; ?$ d3 f# x! V虽然潜力可期，但VanEck认为，即使现在距离2030年还有7年时间，但Solana到时候托管全球大部分加密货币交
2 S$ g) h. G1 G0 @/ s4 Z易的可能性仍低于以太坊。不过，VanEck的牛市分析框架显示，若Solana能避开以太坊叙事并实现「类似以太
" D. Q6 i% e8 y; O坊」的主导地位，则Solana网络在2030年的收入可望达到518亿美元，SOL目标价上看3,211美元。7 `7 Y8 m1 \# P. @; H
行情数据显示，SOL币价年初迄今上涨超过230%，市值超过137亿美元，是目前市值排名第8大的加密货币。截
! V4 X% b5 v+ s+ n; d% p4 O4 {) X至发稿时，SOL的交易价格为32.57美元，这意味着SOL仍需上涨超过9,700%左右，才能达到3,211美元的「神迹
. s% D: P; E" w5 ^$ U价」。$ L$ X0 t- H7 k' e. U3 |# f
值得注意的是，VanEck还在报告中模拟了「Solana是第一个托管超过1亿用户的应用程式的区块链」的场景，并
5 N; u; H2 z6 K) e- r且从网路收入、用户量、dApp开发、网络效能等角度对Solana网络进行了全面的分析。% [, Q8 u4 A+ j) K9 e9 ^, I
VanEck表示，目前Solana的数据吞吐量远胜于其他区块链，而且下一次的软体升级——「Firedancer升级」甚至
`: E y7 e2 B+ T6 f承诺可将Solana网络的容量再提升10倍。换言之，升级后的Solana网络吞吐量会是以太坊2.0的近千倍，Aptos、
/ l/ c$ l) N5 g! VSui等Move语言新公链的12.5倍。
9 H) c( W/ \* r+ g6 W" ^, A! b) B; @/ A自从FTX于去年11月垮台后，虽然Solana受到的打击尤深，遭遇严重的流动性紧缩，一度导致币价萎靡不振，所' [5 v# k! F# _+ L5 ]0 A" S# ~
幸开发人员仍持续建设，才得以支撑Solana链上活跃度不断增长。2 {- t( E+ O, z' \9 x" K' g5 I
Solana近期动作频频，先是推出智慧型手机，再来是SolanaPay取得Shopify合作关系，上个月又成为VISA试验4 q7 _2 P5 s; s0 [3 a" w4 Z! X
项目的合作伙伴，使用SOL测试跨境支付结算，看得出该公司持续推展Solana应用的野心。
3 O- P9 ^. x% x) Y
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