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[虚拟币交流]
Fed暗示2024降息三次！比特币冲破4.3万美元（14日转）
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2 y1 P1 N5 Y( I/ }& h/ n
美国联准会(Fed)在9、11月连续两次暂停升息后，于今(14)日凌晨3点释出的FOMC声明
/ Q2 T: \7 z. m! `7 F9 _; G8 @& o中，三度维持联邦基准利率在5.25%~5.50%区间不变，一如市场此前预期。
+ r: u7 A, i1 U2 E" G且令投资者兴奋的事，主席鲍威尔(Powell)透露降息也已进入Fed视野。" s0 ^6 ^" y* J% O3 c: X
官员预计：2024将降息3次
8 P4 j. N' v$ Q& s1 K虽然Fed在FOMC声明中仍强调实现2%的通货膨胀率是其最终目标，但最新的经济数据表明，经济增长较第三季 ^/ a! K; f1 D9 u2 U
度有所放缓，就业依然保持强劲、失业率也维持在较低水平。因此，联准会官员在决定维持利率不变的同时，也+ f7 A o& G; g0 v9 E# ^
已经开始讨论降息的时机。6 E( D2 C5 k* s
主席鲍威尔表示：这将是我们展望未来的一个主题，Fed官员预计明年将三次降息25个基点，这将推动市场大幅. }! [+ X: h& K( R; r
走高。
/ h) u- v* M6 y" y且根据利率点阵图，联准会官员还预计将在2025年再降息四次，他们相信，将不再需要通过提高利率的方式来缓2 F3 C/ A# l+ \5 W8 i
解CPI压力，因为到今年年底，通膨率将放缓至2.8%，2024年底则将降至2.4%。$ N2 _5 V8 h% |5 k6 f ]3 ?
比特币冲破4.3万, |# M8 Y! L2 K/ f1 ^( O
受到Fed宣布不加息、并透露明年考虑降息的激励下，比特币在今(14)晨六点最高来到43,475美元。7 R" G8 o- K$ A1 R# ^
截稿前略有回落，报42,773美元/近24小时涨幅为3.2%。- v. j! |4 @6 S6 N/ x. o
以太坊同样呈现上涨趋势，稍早最高攀上2284美元，截稿前报2,255美元/近24小时涨幅为2.3%。
8 ~4 y; [: L0 U% H* v2 l3 o3 {美股四大指数齐扬
1 r/ E" o" s* n% S8 u, `# p9 y7 b回到美股方面，表现也相当亮眼，四大指数齐涨、道指更是创下历史新高：
- m) a% |0 p9 s9 i道琼工业指数：上涨512.3点(1.4%)，收37090.24点
! i. r' v1 H% M* o4 S$ H; H8 N1 `纳斯达克指数：上涨200.57点(1.38%)，收14733.96点
* d9 v! O; r( v5 t标普500指数：上涨63.39点(1.37%)，收4707.09点: D' ?: z) q1 p% e) l3 M& X
费城半导体指数：上涨60.77点(1.55%)，收3990.95点
- l' f: ?: i& E( a/ j" f美国10年债殖利率跌破4%
6 {/ e5 S: }: w# e另外美国10年期公债殖利率也呈现较剧烈的下跌，撰稿时跌破4%。
2 u' A- V" n( n3 O8 O+ F被誉为「新债券天王」的双线资本(Double Line)创办人Jeffrey Gundlach就预测，美国10年期公债殖利率明年将
( z) f% G6 U' t: ~跌到更接近3%水平。, Q7 J& f0 u2 A9 {2 O" Q& F
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