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[lastpost] => 2770519 比特币 2026 年的价格催化剂：宏观顺风和机构支持将推动下一轮牛市（转） 1759343352 jackcool1011
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对于比特币（BTC）来说，今年是标志性的一年，比特币是/ ]' {0 \% z, s9 c
2 `0 s2 W/ T" b, A7 o4 q. s世界上第一种加密货币，而且仍然是市值最大的加密货币。在2022
, m V. B1 i: @# d7 }0 F X; M& p( m- p7 i! H
年创下历史新低后，数字货币在2023年实现了显著复苏。5 d2 s" N8 j, v8 _: |7 k
6 ^; C& m: W7 l& Q
7 P/ A- p9 U; U2 k 2022年，比特币艰难应对宏观经济逆风，包括美国美联储大幅加
) s! U7 k! M3 O, E2 ?# O; {3 \5 t5 G! y4 T- l
息和加密货币交易所FTX的崩溃。利率上升往往会降低投资者的风险0 d/ j& E, z9 X8 P: I
% e: v4 d$ _) s
承受能力，进而削弱比特币的吸引力。此外，加息的主要目的是抑
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, X6 o. F2 z- H; E! D6 P制通胀，这会降低比特币作为通胀对冲工具的吸引力。 I- i9 ~+ F+ O, n
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然而，在2023年下半年，加密货币之王的价值和投资者兴趣急
& n$ f. Q/ p. b1 U0 X' i, l8 G1 ]# `; s5 I5 O/ Z
剧回升。对该资产的需求不断增长，加上以比特币计价的交易所交易
1 @6 K7 @7 P9 ~$ a/ ?) t7 e5 m3 J4 n2 i4 z w
基金 (ETF)，导致比特币的价格从年初的16,625美元飙升至截至20238 b/ }, F. i. y# ]% @
5 i2 x" c, b, Z& O9 T
年12月18日的价值高达41,452美元。今年迄今为止，该代币已上涨149%。 % N* W+ Z/ u/ S3 k& \
3 l" h2 B Q" D+ K* H2 Q
（作为比较：截至2023年12月18日，标准普尔500指数上涨了近23%，
% W: P# I# R6 v! I P s) _! J5 R7 P( {5 W! ^2 d t2 |' j
标准普尔/多伦多证券交易所综合指数上涨了7%以上。）. t5 i2 w) d! e; H r# j
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近期比特币价值的飙升也使加密货币的总市值自2022年5月以来首次突
+ j1 O$ W% w- ?) ~2 }: n0 ?' h' `; f0 M- C. c2 ~; W1 z$ ~
破1.5万亿美元，标志着期待已久的加密货币冬天的解冻。
9 s0 A$ [5 C- C, [6 b- g' [
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