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[lastpost] => 2770856 比特币价格预测：摩根大通预测未来比特币将上涨 40%（转） 1759427428 jackcool1011
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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘！鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽！（转）
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。6 k8 z) o. U8 o5 e+ {$ g
* H* ~+ C/ \3 p2 g" d+ G# p) X9 U
过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。8 x# l- r0 `9 c' @& o
链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日，比特币（BTC）出现大幅波动，当
3 q% E3 d* m& M! X3 D& C/ j4 Q0 U" j
天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力，但未实现净损益（NUPL）等链上指标表明市场8 r% M5 w7 }+ Q6 T l" n
C( Y3 H. s3 q+ e. G7 S
处于健康的看涨状态。
: M9 K, Z. O( P, C5 P8 [- y4 y3 ^1 Z4 q j3 e. M2 {+ i
AMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值，但在12月中旬
7 h8 _3 w# w1 N/ H+ K+ r2 `* b; h- e, A, F5 y6 w, q* ?, W
短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象，引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF
: } w( @1 `& n
, A5 J3 m8 i; x; f; ?获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。
9 L; |" A+ J; ]3 |% X' {
5 k; q6 m% {/ g+ a6 {9 sAMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况，评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来，
6 R) ~" r r- A
$ U; ^( P, F9 c/ U+ YCoinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提; T, |3 {$ z7 F1 J! [
0 l" w+ _ ~1 y& G+ X9 a9 v4 O$ B* o及，但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。
/ p F; [- |- V7 a9 B; |% F7 }4 d0 {' r* B8 o7 v
其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率，即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较
, t7 ]7 b2 g& X& Z" ?
4 ~# D d3 G$ H1 y: t# A* l* ^低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升，表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强
7 `' [6 H* X9 s9 ?5 b; C0 P; O9 j4 @ `3 _. R" r
劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。/ M- v+ J9 [/ V' L
' u( Q( |$ `5 m然而，该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限，表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF2 _" E1 J; i b0 |+ d$ x3 Z9 B
& i/ e: p7 z' M* X. [/ u6 A/ V申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。
5 f5 Z! H7 l7 e+ V3 n. {" u* t
8 ~& a& B9 F: l. x w) \% r虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高，但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日，比特币: g1 T7 |% G- J& @
+ H+ U2 \' C) F, G1 D3 q
NUPL攀升至0.5以上，这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反，市场既不处于欣喜状态，也不 M4 Q8 g8 I# _/ D- [7 ?: W0 Q
% j( k+ j4 r0 x' F绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期，这也与比特币最近几个月无法. I) x/ l# P/ f; }- O
, H# \9 c( P( e
继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。2 v8 R9 Y0 u1 ~: t' }. x# V( O& c5 ^
4 v& l, A0 u( P
/ t/ h6 d7 C/ e# I0 }4 K; b+ m3 w; v( }2 G因此，比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的* h- S t. ^5 I" q1 C u! H
' ?; M. Y5 A# Z3 f% s% o关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。' c3 j- F; o) p( }+ r& i% L- e6 x
5 g2 l# l) I' E0 _/ @: c
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