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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘！鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽！（转）
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。/ ^5 s& g# N0 A$ X# A- D
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过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。
/ S7 M! {4 [" p+ y# ?链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日，比特币（BTC）出现大幅波动，当% w% z. d& S: W7 u4 H9 @7 z) X
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天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力，但未实现净损益（NUPL）等链上指标表明市场
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处于健康的看涨状态。% ~; o1 ~$ B1 X/ `7 i
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AMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值，但在12月中旬
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短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象，引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF! k0 v5 i; y! d5 G6 d4 h1 \
" c2 x3 c5 k% T4 h获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。2 ]5 k6 o5 ~/ i- M5 S" h/ ?
! F) K9 H8 X- G' K4 wAMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况，评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来，
9 N+ m! ?8 d* I# U# M; p1 n: W: j5 w" J! \ a" I9 K
Coinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提% M1 p( W6 L+ U1 A; {7 {5 x
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及，但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。) ^! ]/ O+ _# ~ O ?* h
! i5 E" ]* D6 o其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率，即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较
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低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升，表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强
( G! {- v4 E4 @4 }1 ^; ~2 }$ F' P) t) N1 f
劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。" \9 p: t9 i# r
9 ^# F% v; ^) ~$ s% w! y- H$ B然而，该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限，表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF
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申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。
" |* h# j6 V5 [; n7 P/ d5 D. t/ \; h& |/ \
虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高，但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日，比特币
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L8 G$ k" o/ hNUPL攀升至0.5以上，这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反，市场既不处于欣喜状态，也不
' `( q; E% u: z! ~4 x& |2 ]' W, P" h& ^+ y& w6 I1 b0 k
绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期，这也与比特币最近几个月无法/ w3 }8 L" |; y# h/ r: Y, W" e
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继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。% D( m1 I/ |6 c4 h) L' P
0 @- r) o9 v6 {0 L- J9 {$ H
2 E; V, r4 ~. I. F5 e因此，比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的# y+ d; E' H: ]. D @( v4 h
' R) P1 K) f# {9 \
关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。! n, E" ?. F' E
" }* n0 L8 Q- m; b, s7 Y+ h
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