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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘！鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽！（转）
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
, L5 f' ^: r! L: ?' B: t8 v9 k" k( E
过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。
8 b$ u! p. f0 }; c( | A+ {0 w9 y# F链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日，比特币（BTC）出现大幅波动，当' f! }8 l6 N+ D: x
1 ?4 S0 T) V3 s! p, F8 B! }天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力，但未实现净损益（NUPL）等链上指标表明市场0 M" j, l: G" \9 r$ s! H
+ i. h. S' h, |( N3 h" V处于健康的看涨状态。7 ~, S7 Z0 l, w8 m7 _
- I) p! t; P4 V; P9 xAMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值，但在12月中旬
( b) d& d ^& L
& Z5 Z% [$ {( _+ ^" A, H短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象，引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF% H/ _( J$ p5 f8 z X, {% f
% m1 K) s. x5 O6 `; u% c$ x! h( v获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。# m. \8 J- a" u
7 R. x! w% B1 P4 {- d8 ^% Z5 \! ?
AMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况，评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来，1 `8 B% [) ~! _. A, x
; t3 `- R: x c( t* N, f; A
Coinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提* h3 o. ]* A/ O" j
* G# a# U' G. O$ y
及，但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。$ ?2 q7 x& x- T; N3 [! { C/ C2 F
$ U: I4 K4 H0 l& X" F0 f, t
其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率，即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较
! h3 E6 B3 S+ e7 \8 S# e# m) e$ ~4 O* R* h; n0 u
低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升，表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强
. e8 N; o! a* w8 x: d! v
" g+ o4 W; C& j1 T c# m3 r劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。# _% x% i: o# I
) b. |1 v( @4 L. a! P7 A然而，该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限，表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF
+ n5 ~% ` A$ w& W0 U. P
. N0 Z$ C. o" K# o8 S3 l* T8 B申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。
# }2 h: ?# L: J- G3 Y
3 }% E3 t# Z- Z" A: ]虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高，但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日，比特币
" z# o! J$ q' {
7 a" n$ W; D1 WNUPL攀升至0.5以上，这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反，市场既不处于欣喜状态，也不
/ ]7 ^) @2 _1 j& q2 [/ E: w) K+ j; a% C5 h/ u2 r
绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期，这也与比特币最近几个月无法
( y& i1 u0 U) } E3 ], H& q2 ]. d. i* d& q' M" ]4 t: |2 f9 s
继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。 w; I. S4 y: h- @/ N2 o" G6 q2 t! z
2 S" \$ e+ C4 e0 ~# \# |
8 K3 A; F% r0 Q$ D+ {
因此，比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的5 A' A, |. F. b* w2 O; W& U/ a! o
* x( G$ e" ?0 X7 r9 U关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
' `3 y' Q k& _! r: g6 \3 L7 O- j, \8 s- D! O Q
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