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[lastpost] => 2765504 Back 警告：比特币减半或将引发下一轮牛市（转） 1757830806 jackcool1011
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加密货币研究机构K33 Research称，一个来自比特币衍生品市场的信号表明，发生“逼空” —— 这可能引发这一全球最大数字资产大涨 —— 的风险逐渐上升。/ A* \/ k- P( {# ], W
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这项指标就是比特币永续期货（有助于衡量投机者的看涨或看跌程度）的融资利率。K33表示，在8月20日，7天平均年化融资利率为2023年3月美国一串银行" E( [1 e# X5 [( G+ [
& _9 \7 z0 u3 X4 X$ M Q/ R倒闭惊到投资者以来的最低水平，表明看跌押注盛行。/ D6 t& k; N1 y0 M- d" n8 F
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K33分析师Vetle Lunde和David Zimmerman在报告中写道，过去一周永续掉期融资利率均值为负，而未平仓合约急剧增加。“这意味着投资者大举做空，从结构# C1 B, Y( C8 Q
( b: `$ Z S2 @( L& Q上为逼空创造了一个成熟的环境。”6 N4 j# t, {7 D1 h8 P: G
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% `2 [7 Y& s, W 在逼空情景中，价格意外上涨会迫使短线交易员结清空头头寸，从而进一步推动反弹。比特币市场情绪近来一直很低迷：这种数字资产8月下跌并难以保持, J/ ^ l- i! t* @
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在60，000美元以上。与此同时，一项全球股票指数迈向纪录高位，黄金价格已经创下新高。
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- S1 o% E6 t5 x9 D" K2 v1 |( U: e K33表示，永续市场的名义未平仓合约在过去一周的增幅合29，000个比特币左右。8月20日的7天平均年化资金利率为-2.5%。Lunde和Zimmerman表示，6 I- r7 B' O- l5 p, K, c
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在融资利率为负的同时未平仓合约增长得如此迅猛，是相对罕见的。7 r6 W n b+ L
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永续期货由于没有固定的到期日而受到加密货币投机者的欢迎。在更传统的芝商所比特币期货市场，交易活动也持续攀升，这可能表明美国机构投资者
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+ k) p8 R: V y2 i3 I重新参与到市场中了。: `. X; k- I/ @3 n
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这个倒也是可以去了解下看看了啊。  |
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