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[虚拟币交流]
比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存（转）
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比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存
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8月接近尾声，比特币8月表现落后于传统资产，因流动性下降，且市场持续担心多国ZF可能抛售比特币库存。3 a; L* E) w0 P4 S$ w
+ r6 p0 W1 B! i3 k研究公司Kaiko在一份报告中写道，可能进行此番处置的包括美国、天朝、英国和乌克兰，从倒闭的Mt. Gox数字资产交易所3 S. U: f3 @/ b5 ^, D0 j, k
% ~5 U- e1 q3 v6 i5 k n获得代币的债权人亦是如此。分析显示，总体的比特币供应量可能达到330亿美元。1 G4 a* `: b, h# T1 A* f+ Q
1 h B' ?% Y% r' ^Kaiko估计，美国ZF持有约203220枚比特币，其次是天朝的190000枚，英国的61200枚，和乌克兰的46350枚。各国ZF在
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刑事案件中没收加密货币，而乌克兰据信则是收到加密货币形式的捐款。与此同时，Kaiko指出，Mt. Gox还有大约46170个代2 I& D' I; ?1 J
4 q: p. y/ y2 }( k, N/ S; ~5 q. |& V币待分配。: y1 y8 H# i! a( w) E
( C) P1 B& O. A, k% k2 ]4 `“供应过剩在整个夏季一直是加密货币市场的一个话题，”Kaiko分析师Adam Morgan McCarthy和Dessislava Aubert表示。他们
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补充说，“有几个重要的持有者可能成为未来几个月潜在的抛售压力来源”。- a$ \& e$ m, L: D* o9 q
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^" s, e. [3 [ 1 H: _! L* X/ o) u3 L
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K8 K! A+ d6 w2 w! }( b流动性减弱" b3 ~ w2 [0 s' r
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除了担心大量卖压之外，比特币市场流动性稀薄，可能会加剧大宗交易引发的价格波动。8月迄今，比特币在此背景下下跌了大
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约8%，而全球股票和债券指数则上涨了大约2%。/ Q5 n, u9 {) X- v
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“比特币现货市场交易量仍然低迷，导致近期价格走势震荡，”Fundstrat Global Advisors LLC的数字资产策略主管Sean Farrell在
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8 C: w$ a$ g$ v- q7 \ D6 l7 Q& W" T报告中写道。他补充说，季节性趋势表明，市场活动通常会在美国劳动节假期后回升。
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