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BTC在过去一周中恢复了适度的恢复，徒步旅行2.81％。
9 H; Y. B0 K* w比特币的杠杆比率下降，因为投机需求降温，而现货需求上升。% y( Q$ h% u) i
在过去的一周中，比特币[BTC]继续向侧面交易。实际上，截至撰写本文时，比特币在上升0.22％后的交易价格为07.052美元。! c: w1 c" `( R2 k' z$ ]
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此外，BTC在每周和每月的图表上分别远足2.81％和2.89％。
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- g0 ~ d) m' _$ U' D/ |最近的价格泵提出了有关哪些因素驱动它的问题。 Inasmuch，加密分析师Dan提出，BTC的杠杆比率降低，BTC的机构需求和长期积累的较高。6 `7 J. z# h' D% b0 ^) D5 b
" G+ z+ ~3 p5 V* G- D) J% {9 @! e! U比特币的杠杆率降低9 a- y8 x. g$ {* B. C4 \
根据CryptoQuant自11月21日以来，比特币的杠杆比率已下降。杠杆比率的下降表明，相对于集中式交易所可用的BTC，开放利息（OI）正在下降。# x& U- S: g7 i j: r% V# I
7 m7 Y1 F9 v/ O. m- G从历史上看，较低的杠杆比率降低了清算级联的风险，从而使价格动作更有机而不是衍生品驱动。/ ~ k3 l# J. {+ \/ B5 z9 Y
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同样，相对于价格，OI到市场上限也有所下降。这种下降表明，价格图的收益在很大程度上是由现货需求而不是投机驱动的。
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- H9 g9 k7 p: U卖出比率也证明了这一趋势，这意味着随着市场的降温，较长的头寸即将结束。) W; J* b8 ^7 F3 {
6 n$ U, z& Q5 W5 x* ~3 g
值得注意的是，至关重要的是，CEX储备还经历了持续下降。在此期间，BTC在购买比特币ETF的同时转移到了Coinbase Prime。当CEX储备下降时，这意味着可以出售的BTC较少。 Coinbase的流量增加表明，大型参与者，尤其是机构正在积累。
! F$ c7 |' Z3 t1 Z
- Q. @/ q" Q7 T! [! V; D, i当所有这些市场行为融合在一起时，这意味着比特币目前正在看到健康的市场。价格不是由杠杆驱动的，使未来的集会更加可持续。7 S8 x' t, U8 k2 c' U
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这对BTC意味着什么
; J; l* T2 s3 T- q随着杠杆率较小，机构积极积累的杠杆率较小，这表明市场正在经历强烈的看涨情绪。+ W& W/ J9 S' e' p
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例如，比特币的Coinbase Premium指数在过去一周中一直保持积极。这不仅表明了美国投资者的积极情绪，而且还提高了机构的需求。" g" Q& U- b( e- c5 m5 s$ b
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从历史上看，机构的需求更高，在提高价格上涨方面发挥了关键作用。
9 R) c }) P7 z( P0 p1 G( M
( o' H% E# w7 R, B$ O4 d7 |此外，比特币的基金市场溢价在过去的一天中飙升了积极。当这变得积极时，这意味着投资者是看好的，渴望的短裤以保持自己的职位。9 F# r7 `+ P0 i" [ k, C" F
3 p, e, L( j+ Q9 ~: y9 ~9 J这意味着渴望的价格会在短期内上涨。
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& r' ^! a4 z* ?最后，市场参与者越来越积累，流出量超过流入。 Exchange Netflow已下降到-2.9k，随着投资者继续积累，反映了更多的交换提款。5 o9 r. X0 ?2 s" F: l. A' l
# ]' m' c1 @1 g! o( R" \2 a2 k读 比特币的[BTC]价格预测 2025–20261 R7 l( L2 u+ U" S
4 W: S! \2 E! X, J4 }
简而言之，随着零售和大型持有人的积累，比特币正在增强看涨的势头。这种市场行为表明，BTC市场已经冷却，将加密货币定位为进一步的收益。; p I4 W" F3 d" u
& E6 {2 d. z; I- ?! i
如果这种情绪成立，BTC将在短期回收$ 98,127，然后尝试突破至$ 10万美元。随后，这里的回调将使比特币降至$ 95,800。
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