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[虚拟币交流]
比特币触底暴涨？山寨腰斩，跌到底了！抄底黄金坑，错过再等4年！ （转）
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昨晚BTC两次回踩下降趋势线，均是一碰就弹，过去一个月BTC深度连续震荡探底势，逼多已经到了一定程度。今天的反弹BTC的主力数据虽然是流出的，
& R2 |4 \" x# f/ B' x但短线无论如何得有一波反抽修复一下指标了，在触底93321后，目前已经反弹了 3000刀 +的空间！8 z- E' L) ]( |
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在没有大的利空条件下，BTC大概率通过区间震荡来完成这轮调整。 震荡的区间在9万到10.8之间，这个位置磨的时间越长，后续越难跌下去。所以" C1 |" C6 K7 U) c9 n( n
* e# Q4 M: n2 w3 T1 K- D短期偏向会有一波反弹行情，大家见好就收，不要格局，只做波段。2月22-24日可能会见底，耐心等待几天。3 h; d& X3 c$ E: u
+ P- Y" C. E7 O& V' \6 ]9 B+ X: g: e7 k) _一段行情就做一段的事情，不要用“牛市 ”去锚定一段行情。( ~! M+ Z+ [ G9 K6 r- _5 R
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我对于今年后市的行情也挺看好，价格是循环的，跌多了 跌到跌无可跌了就会涨，前提是你在那个时候还有满仓的U去选择抄底的标的，而不是“牛市”还在，
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一定能来，但是自己的仓位被套了50%，翻倍才回本。
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( x& u1 p! F5 W9 k山寨有正在触底的迹象，很多板块洗盘的深度都差不多了，比如以太坊、SOL、MEME和AI这些比较热门的板块都有长时间的深度调整。就拿比较强势的PEPE，) }2 _# T0 m7 U5 h8 S% d- V( R0 f
& b4 |5 g( D/ m0 ~/ I* D在2月3号那天也从最高点，回调了72％，以太坊2月3号最低到2125.01，从高点回调了49％。SOL在2月9号继续跌破，洗到160.88，回调了45％。还有bgb从最
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" q L) A7 v0 h- Z4 M高点跌到4.515，也回调了48％。# I8 d3 n% F1 S' n4 i' n* Y
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目前最担心的是比特币继续下跌，甚至插针跌破8万9，其他又得跌的一塌糊涂………现在市场就是靠比特币来操控盘面，之前最后一跌往往是通过砸比特币 H2 T# O; e; [; Y" u3 ^
0 C8 |0 ^# t) i* b3 m, y4 B来洗出山寨的恐慌盘，让大家割肉离场。但市场留给空头的时间窗口不多了。要真是3月份还继续大跌，连着3~4个月都大跌。这个市场还有人玩吗？真的是
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离了个大谱，那后面就只剩疯狂上涨了。
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总的来说短期偏向比特币会有一波反弹行情，对流动性释放利好最多的是下半年，降息重启、稳定币法案落地、以太坊质押合规等应该会接踵而至。我认为下
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6 A$ N! m0 f% y9 ^半年将会看到二级山寨爆发，接下来开始找好标的布局，这轮周期的真正高潮应该快到了。在这波来临时前，选择以下山寨建仓：& i- c" ^2 l9 L) F F0 p. O
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1、MSTR、SMLR等跟随BTC趋势走的美股，算溢价率。) ?" [2 m* i9 }2 E
( m( o% c: p3 e+ y4 r2、BTC带着ETH涨，同时ETH的叙事炒作，带着大多数二级山寨涨，因为流动性不够，资金炒作赛道少，所以要选热门赛道。还有ETH生态。9 P2 o0 \& h3 D7 m' B- K
) }7 n& n4 E' e8 C9 i+ f$ R3、SOL涨带动链上MEME，不管是AI 概念还是名人效应。还有SOL生态
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/ e7 A* V0 Y/ k0 j l# R4、平台币，BNB、GT、BGB等等，平台打新、挖矿。: h' W7 |' i' {0 r
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5、其他美系炒作ETF的，比如LTC、XRP、DOGE, v7 N7 Q& }" A! }
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