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[lastpost] => 2800074 比特币重夺主导地位，而山寨币在谨慎情绪下表现疲软（转） 1769252666 rainwang
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[虚拟币交流]
将比特币路的映射到$ 98K - 分析关键障碍，反弹的几率（转）
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BTC鲸鱼流入本周增长了26％，但长期流出仍然超过积累。& r! u F( B/ ^# R7 `6 H
比特币的价格发散和估值冲突可能会将干净的突破延迟至98,000美元以上。$ u# d0 B3 T7 D0 ~% f
比特币[BTC]正在显示潜在反弹的早期迹象，并由TD顺序购买支持信号在每小时图表上，并更新了技术势头。发稿时，BTC的交易价格为95,952.36美元，在过去24小时内下降了0.33％。, Q7 I9 i( y3 Y! r+ x7 B% u
7 t7 O& [; T/ l+ [尽管价格的合并低于$ 96,000，但几个基于链和衍生品的指标表明，如果关键的结构信号一致，则BTC可能正在为决定性举动做准备。7 d1 F/ Q# I. O; S: s1 p- T. k
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鲸鱼的积累显示出短期流入，但是…
8 w3 Q. w+ {& r8 |: `6 H7 j( r; J: x% U鲸鱼的新鲜积累提供了乐观的第一个火花。在过去一周中，大型持有人的Netflow上升了26.41％，这表明当前水平的短期定罪。/ k m0 |3 U# n# y9 i
f' F: `% Q0 g4 i但是，更广泛的趋势仍然减少了30天和90天的Netfrows，分别下降了-108.09％和-110.13％。
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因此，尽管恢复了最近的恢复，但长期分布仍在对持续的看涨势头构成挑战。
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) B9 R# D: o9 n: m: B) l- w4 U最重要的是玻璃节数据显示链上使用情况的显着增加，过去24小时内记录了925,914个活动地址。
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这标志着六个月内网络活动的最高水平，并标志着强大的区块链参与。
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) K o- K) I- W& J: [" h9 u8 P4 ?& t然而，热情可能很热。 Santiment Price DAA发散的价格为-225.82％，显示价格超过了有机地址的增长。* U# u: J! y4 G
; B8 C: [+ ]/ L6 l估值指标揭示了BTC市场健康的信号冲突
# n% r9 ~6 T1 \2 y5 f几种估值模型提出了混合的前景。& r/ m7 n) e, q# M, ~7 X0 p& `
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PUELL多个坐在1.36处，表明矿工收入在健康范围内。( ]( z: b2 M& _6 Q1 e5 q# Z3 c3 o
# b; p8 r* N6 \. {% s
同时，NVT和NVM比分别增加了50％和26％，这表明市值超过了交易和用户活动。 4 {3 U; s1 t8 y
# P, [8 n% K, b2 Z! d, i% ]
相反，股票与流量的比率下降了50％，表明对长期稀缺定价的信心降低。这些相互矛盾的指标表明，尽管基本面并不弱，但市场仍然处于估值灰色区域。
2 j5 G, O& F% }8 q) r7 }5 v# a
- N6 b3 g' [% v: k此外，Binance清算热图显示，密集包装的流动性集群接近94,000美元和98,000美元。这些水平代表了高杠杆定位的区域，价格波动通常会加剧。 * q2 x, |- f S# }/ A
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如果BTC超过$ 98,000，它可能会触发一系列级联的级别清算，以增强动力。但是，低于$ 94K的下跌可能会清算长期头寸并提高价格。% I" J5 I) I5 x' W3 {
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结果，交易者应密切关注这些水平，因为他们可能决定BTC的下一个定向行动。$ Z$ k/ P- |1 C& C& q: w
& }8 x! u* t! z. [BTC可以再次超过$ 98K还是再次失速？
7 |2 S) C4 g5 J& ]比特币随着网络活动的上升和新鲜的鲸鱼流入而闪烁的恢复迹象。
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但是，长期的卖出压力，负价分支的差异和估值张力表明，突破超过$ 98K的途径仍然不确定。
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