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[lastpost] => 2762639 特朗普家族全面掌控虚拟资产，两子借比特币一天暴赚两万亿韩元 1756983583 林武风
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币关键指标再次闪烁——BTC 会反弹至新高吗？（转）
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随着比特币徘徊在历史高点附近，积极的购买行为再次出现，但鲸鱼的行为却呈现出分歧。! N, k$ t7 x7 L6 ~
RSI 信号超买水平，而 MACD 动量减弱——BTC 需要突破 105,000 美元，否则有回调风险。
8 [* c+ u1 i; r$ j, ~) e比特币的[BTC]随着积极的买家涌入市场，市场势头再次增强。% Q3 i" D" j/ M8 V
/ x/ V1 J5 x% c) B) O; o接受者买入/卖出比率已飙升至 1.02，这是自几次历史性突破以来从未见过的水平，表明市场参与者的信心日益增强。8 B0 \% b5 f2 p) Y5 |1 I, y1 }- k
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链上数据显示，大型钱包正在加大增持力度，为许多人猜测的可能创下历史新高的最后冲刺做好准备。
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随着市场情绪升温，BTC 价格徘徊在之前的峰值下方，下一轮上涨行情是否即将开始？
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8 h- L- z/ M: d1 W5 g1 ]( g+ a市场信心[激增]？
8 y9 p% Y7 ?0 Z9 }根据最近的CryptoQuant 报告，Taker 买入/卖出比率已果断突破 1.00 大关，达到 1.02——这一水平在历史上与比特币价格走势的突破时刻相关。" i0 Y8 ]9 |( A9 W) @/ R9 t$ c; n
( C# q6 \* m& B& [0 } w6 e1 d- a2022 年末，在 15,000 美元至 20,000 美元的积累区附近以及 2023 年 10 月突破 30,000 美元之前也出现了类似的峰值。
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随着 BTC 目前徘徊在历史高点附近，积极购买的回归表明人们的信心日益增强——但这也提高了风险，因为这个门槛此前曾先于上涨和急剧逆转。
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5 J, |" A' a* r8 \8 O. Y6 f超级持有者已暂停3 A% O+ p$ Z2 [$ b3 j
尽管总体积累趋势依然看涨，但仔细观察就会发现行为发生了微妙的转变。% T2 G+ K) X6 e: K8 V4 ^8 L
% |; M! h5 K, c2 Y2 L根据 Glassnode，持有超过 10,000 BTC 的超大鲸鱼已经冷却了他们的购买活动，回到了 0.5 左右的中性积累分数。% y* k) V# ?3 x9 E8 P; A+ [( P
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相比之下，中等规模的群体（持有 1,000 至 10,000 BTC 的钱包）仍然是活跃的买家，得分接近 0.9。
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' g- m- D5 D" B7 |即使是规模较小的机构投资者也表现出持续的强劲势头。然而，散户投资者仍在继续分散资金。
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尽管看涨势头持续，但推动涨势的主要是中等规模的投资者，而非资金雄厚的投资者。
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比特币显示出疲软迹象
5 H7 y, B. F0 |' ^: bRSI 为 70.68，确认了超买状况，这通常是局部顶部或小幅回调的前兆。
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6 m9 T) P; m u0 ^此外，MACD指标仍保持看涨，MACD线位于信号线上方。然而，动能正在趋于平缓，反映出购买压力正在降温。
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尽管早些时候出现飙升，但价格仍然维持区间波动，暗示可能出现疲软。! C- Y, }: F. F2 Y: ? U
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如果 BTC 未能令人信服地突破 105,000 美元，那么在任何持续突破尝试之前，短期回调至 100,000 美元或更低的支撑区域仍然有效。
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