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[lastpost] => 2750392 比特币交易员注意！—为什么这个指标预示BTC可能下跌20%（转） 1752888464 jackcool1011
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[虚拟币交流]
加密货币市场即将发生转变：BTC 主导地位减弱，山寨币走强（转）
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经过两年的强劲上涨，比特币在加密货币市场的主导地位可能即将发生逆转。分析师@el_crypto_prof 表示，BTC 主导地位图上长期存在的模式开始出现裂缝，这可能预示着山寨币将迎来一轮大规模上涨。( y3 q R( J8 j) b
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这 分析师警告“这件事迟早会走向下行趋势——然后你会看到山寨币很快就会达到难以想象的水平”，并指出在不久的将来很可能会出现山寨币季节。
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BTC 主导地位图表：裂缝正在形成
. F( x1 E, }( U `BTC 的周线主导地位图显示，一个上升通道可以追溯到 2023 年初，其特征是持续不断的上移和下移。历史上，每次触及上行趋势线和下行趋势线都会导致反转。+ ~; q, j: Z! K% y
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然而，随着比特币在加密货币市场的份额再次接近该结构的上限（目前约为 65.8%），下行突破的风险正在增加。 t! {, S0 T3 b3 c& B
- @; v3 z! c7 Q确认的通道突破可能对交易者来说是一个理想的信号，下行目标（TP1）位于58%区域附近。这样的突破意味着资金将从比特币转向山寨币。
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b& S4 L5 }" s! L- N# `5 \( H. U有关的： 六月即将结束，以下是七月值得密切关注的山寨币
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; @! p5 D, c9 QTOTAL2 图表：山寨币悄然崛起
) D6 {3 e7 ~8 N ]2 X9 l# }与此同时，TOTAL2 的图表描绘了一幅谨慎乐观的景象。目前，TOTAL2 的市值达到 1.11 万亿美元，并维持在前一波上涨（1.11 万亿美元）的 0.382 斐波那契回撤位上方，且自 5 月回调以来形成了更高的低点。
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0 ~& @! N1 E7 z* Z: q价格行动尚未产生决定性影响，但设置表明，BTC 主导地位的任何弱点都可能成为山寨币所需要的催化剂。, P9 z% ~+ t+ @' A; F* D8 s: E4 ~$ @( S
8 P$ h9 Y/ c" b; k! M" H另一方面，RSI 徘徊在 43 左右，表明市场处于中性至略微超卖状态。如果 RSI 在成交量增加的情况下攀升至 50 以上，则可能确认趋势转变。
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2 T2 X3 l U- D' p有关的： 分析师将 Solana 的潜在目标价定为 160 美元* J7 R% z, O; V3 |2 C) ]
. C( p) ?% }7 j( i此外，力量平衡指标仍然低于零，但已显示出爆发性的积累——这是买家兴趣回归的早期迹象。" V7 t0 Y! F7 H' {5 N0 i
- q8 H7 }3 X' R/ z如果TOTAL2继续走高，潜在的斐波那契扩展目标位在1.4万亿美元（1.618水平）和1.64万亿美元（2.618水平）。这些水平标志着关键阻力位，一旦突破，山寨币可能迎来指数级上涨。
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山寨币这波可能真要起飞了，换挡准备上车咯～# U0 A: v7 [ k4 C: b$ V7 _
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