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[lastpost] => 2778763 为什么纳瓦尔说：ZCash是针对比特币隐私的保险？（转） 1762248959 caoch
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币价格预测：美元回落比特币上扬 今年能冲刺 $300,000 吗？-转
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比特币稳守 $117,761，本週上涨 8%，而美元显现疲态。追踪美元兑主要货币走势的《华尔街日报》美元指数收于 94.73，略高于近期低点，较 2022 年高点下跌 10.4%。 美元走弱推动资金流入数字资产，投资者正寻找传统价值储存之外的替代选项。 技术面强势， 比特币已突破对称三角形区间，并成功站稳 0.382 与 0.5 斐波那契回撤位。 价格持续在关键支撑区 $116,951 之上盘整。4 小时图的 50 期简单移动平均线（SMA）位于 $110,527，提供下方支撑，维持多头趋势。 动能指标支持多头观点。RSI 位于 75.5，虽处于超买区但尚未出现背离，除非出现看跌 K 线或成交量明显下滑，否则短期趋势仍偏向上行。 6 \# o _% H! |2 Q* H
. P! t7 Q& |0 q4 l宏观因素齐聚：联准会不确定性与 ETF 期待联准会内部对利率政策分歧严重，美元陷入观望。有些官员倾向按兵不动，另一些则担忧通膨风险需进一步紧缩。市场目前预估 7 月降息机率约 50%，如掷硬币般令交易者神经紧绷。 在加密市场，情况较为明朗。儘管 SEC 延迟了 Grayscale 的数字大型股 ETF 审批，但对 ETF 的期待仍在累积。分析师认为，随着机构开始视比特币为数字黄金，更多加密 ETF 将陆续问世。这使得 BTC 成为应对利率波动与地缘ZZ风险的更佳避险工具。 同时，Peter Schiff 呼吁抛售比特币转买白银，但市场选择忽视他的言论。比特币在其警告后仍上涨 6%，许多投资者归因于机构资金流入及强劲技术面，持续看多 BTC。 ) u5 {. C5 i: G9 C3 @
" o9 `/ H6 h% J& G/ {交易策略与风险提示比特币价格预测仍偏多，以下为续涨交易佈局： 进场点：回调至 $116,950（0.5 斐波那契回撤位）
' E D3 I' _) y( e* V止损点：跌破 $112,500（0.382 斐波那契回撤位）
- d3 G2 K& k% H9 l+ c3 D目标价：$121,378（0.618 斐波那契回撤位）、$124,682、$127,681 此为斐波那契汇聚与趋势交易策略。建议在压力位留意反转信号，如十字星或上影线 K 线。风险方面，7 月 12 日联准会会议纪要若转趋鹰派，市场波动性将提升；此外，美国对 BRICS 国家（如南非）的关税政策，也将影响全球风险偏好，进而间接影响加密市场。 结论： 比特币技术面突破、美元疲软及 ETF 期待持续增温，意味着上行空间仍在。BTC 是否能在今年冲破 $300,000，将取决于联准会政策、机构採纳度与宏观波动的多重因素交织。但目前，多头仍掌控市场节奏。 / j9 B, g3 f) \; D0 Y6 k, s
Bitcoin Hyper 公开预售突破 200 万美元 价格即将上涨Bitcoin Hyper（$HYPER）是首个由 Solana 虚拟机（SVM）驱动的比特币原生 Layer 2，公开预售已募得 2,511,140 美元，接近 2,846,221 美元目标。代币现价为 $0.012225，下一价格阶梯将于近期公布。 2 q$ {( H! R+ M3 |
该项目结合比特币的安全性与 Solana 的高速，支持快速且低成本的智能合约、去中心化应用（dApps）及迷因币创建，并实现与 BTC 的无缝桥接。Bitcoin Hyper 经 Consult 审计，设计重点为可扩展性、信任与简单易用。 迷因热潮与实用功能的黄金交叉，使 Bitcoin Hyper 成为 2025 年备受瞩目的 Layer 2 项目。随着质押机制启动、预售流程优化及预计第一季全面上线，$HYPER 正快速积聚市场动能。 * Y3 v1 m9 r) A \
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