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[虚拟币交流]
9月22号，BTC回调3%可控ETH回撤10%警惕！关键支撑守不住要控风险
[复制链接]
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 144 小时
本月在线: 16 小时
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行情回顾：老大
. O/ d, L9 b& h. d# i# s5 X- q昨日最高：; @4 t6 t8 |5 I
1158199 e* ?% G2 y% R5 |
，最低8 z- }) u; I4 |7 L8 P( p
115188
8 p5 L8 F& @$ _# p, L8 p( q* ]，波动6 ~) V7 v, c: a1 g- L' U7 A
6312 D/ j( a! U6 M! g+ u/ g6 I# N% U6 O
个点，
( R+ E. A6 h; i/ e. I' p/ \' n" @& n老二0 Q1 {& `8 ?1 L% B! X& Z- E8 L+ f
昨日最高：7 a6 m8 B2 t. Z; i% X9 _; B
4498，% `3 G9 }) u( I" P( P
最低：
1 O5 s# e+ c3 f2 c7 d4443
- X4 C; t( s3 Z: P，波动: K8 _* g/ o2 d2 k" T1 F
55
) `! y6 C/ O' x5 l' g, _个点，昨天# G. e: K& |0 J5 c$ T4 \* H
周日
2 B- S q. t8 {( |上周至今，主流币回调幅度分化明显：BTC 最高触及 118 附近，截至目前最大回调幅度约 3%，整体波动仍在可控范围；而 ETH 回调力度更大，从上周 4700 附近跌至当前位置，回撤幅度已接近 10%，短期承压更明显
^' @1 e4 g( N- N- T3 ?% }" P+ _5 f山寨币回调则呈现 “跟涨跟跌” 特征 —— 前期涨幅较大的币种，此次回调力度相应更强；前期涨幅较小、未过度炒作的币种，跌幅则相对有限。这正印证了此前反复强调的 “不追高、选底部盘整币” 的逻辑：底部币种即便回调，空间也有限，但一旦启动上涨，爆发力会更强，能有效平衡风险与收益。* h( l/ H0 T5 g5 f0 }
从持仓标的表现来看：
6 K( i: t G. ?0 ~7 K7 n' gDOGE：从进场到高点累计收益近 50 个点，当前从高点回撤约 20 个点，虽有利润回吐，但整体趋势未破，仍可继续持仓观察' Y) _! J& J: B5 Y" G
SOL：波动相对稳健，从进场到高点收益超 40 个点，当前高点回撤仅 10 余个点，抗跌性较强，持仓无需过度担忧
$ q; S" S% r8 L6 J. @! RJTO 与 PEOPLE：目前仍在成本价附近震荡，未出现大幅亏损，短期需等待行情方向明朗0 H/ M: b: A6 l
当前行情的核心关注点，集中在双币关键支撑位的防守效果：BTC 需重点盯紧 113-114 区间，此区间若能守住，后续仍有重启上涨的可能；ETH 则需关注 4200-4300 区间 —— 这一位置是其第一轮上涨的启动点，若支撑失守，可能意味着短期趋势转向，需及时控制风险。最后提醒的是，面对市场波动需保持理性：不要因短期下跌几个点就恐慌砸盘、制造 “瀑布” 焦虑，也不要因短期上涨就盲目喊 “牛市起飞”。以平常心看待行情起伏，聚焦关键支撑与趋势变化，才是应对当前市场的核心5 A9 @" h" _# d
今日周一看点：0 `. J" |( `6 h5 T2 F+ z+ [ Y
BTC) T! s* v$ a i Q2 E0 R
BTC行情四小时的走势上不是那么的好，日内级别上需要注意1130-1140区间的支撑防守，先看这个防守之后再看情况，如果日内在这个区间能防守住，后续还会再次启动看点不变继续等待第二轮的反弹上攻，但是一旦这个防守失效跌破的情况，行情会持续下跌，注意控制风险9 i# n5 d6 H; q4 f
ETH
% g8 g9 {2 O. S( u- ~6 l4 hETH的弱势表现一直在强调的就是这轮先看大饼的走势，二饼这轮是看后续的表现，四小时同步也是看目前的4200-4300区间一线的支撑防守位置，同步大饼的113-114区间防守，如果大饼持续下跌，二饼这个位置也就会防守不住，也是要注意控制好风险，同样大饼能防守住二饼也会止跌进行反攻，先看大饼的走势后续二饼也就会跟上
* Z' r1 t5 M0 m. x n山寨
5 [7 T) x `; k# E% ~' X山寨方面还是持续关注的DOGE SOL PEOPLE JTO9 v$ ^5 M% x& O% K6 p
不管行情涨跌，就目前而言，我们的现货持仓没有多大的影响，只要整体你不是选择追涨那些已经涨幅很多的币种或者在涨上来的时候去追进，基本问题不是很大* I$ Q; K' E4 q
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