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开贴讨论罗马尼亚这场比赛，就当长夜漫漫胡侃乱聊了！
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粗略的看了一下这场比赛的盘口和基本资料，因为友谊赛基本不碰，这里有点初步的想法，这里就抛砖引玉了！7 U6 a- \3 T3 Z( w! {+ c) O
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从友谊赛的情况来看，虽然两队的成绩都很烂，但是罗马尼亚比洪都拉斯更烂，虽然罗马尼亚的国际排名要高于洪都拉斯很多，但是对友谊赛来说，这个排名并不能证明什么，国足不刚刚赢了法兰西吗？2 }0 Q4 Y/ u( h5 N# Z0 J% v
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看看盘口
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2 w5 d% k$ }$ p- j2 @8 y1 G澳门初盘就是半球盘，立博初盘是半球，后来降到平半盘，其他公司基本都是初盘半球，后来降盘到平半盘。; X; ^+ H" ]( a/ l) W3 \
降盘的意图无非就是不看好上盘或者是诱下盘7 B+ N( a3 S1 Z& f* v! J- t
分开来说：0 K$ K( p# _ N6 u7 y
1.不看好上盘& H( L' I' `& K
判断庄家是不是真的不看好上盘，可以从大众心理来入手，两队的状态都很烂，但是罗马尼亚更烂，即使实力和排名都强于客队，在大众心理上来说上下盘的筹码差别应该不会太大，这种情况下，庄家如果真的是不看好上盘，降盘的情况下，一定会将部分筹码赶往下盘。那么我真的不看好上盘，我把筹码赶到下盘做什么？
) S/ {; u( P% s6 U; k2.诱下盘
9 ?6 h3 C5 @8 v: T9 F: I7 L诱下盘，也就是说实际上是看好上盘的，这种情况下如上述第一点所说，筹码会倾向于下盘，达到了诱的目的。
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经过上述分析，判断庄家是在诱下盘。
1 H* Z* g6 R# R这里还有一个特殊就是澳门，目前还维持在半球盘不动。后续观察吧！* ^8 l2 v3 |' Z( L& N& R* c
9 f( M" |% \6 Q+ ?9 p# b. F( l1 u以上纯属个人观点，欢迎大家拍砖！ |
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个人看好洪都拉斯,洪都拉斯希望世界杯前开个门红,而罗马尼亚没有欲望 |
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[b]回复 [url=http://www.tcelue.com/redirect.php?goto=findpost&pid=148043&ptid=58999]2#[/url] [i]dodoken2[/i] [/b]6 h9 ^& n1 v2 v* o: n7 M
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还有5天就开幕了，也许保存实力避免受伤是球队的一种选择！ |
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其实亚盘一直有在造诱下盘的假象,欧赔洪都拉斯胜和平一直在降
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* x% m$ n5 j7 }! g9 @# \我现象洪都拉斯会赢盘 |
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[quote]其实亚盘一直有在造诱下盘的假象,欧赔洪都拉斯胜和平一直在降
! X! j3 x8 {! X0 O e
3 ~) Z7 e$ {" a/ {! @我现象洪都拉斯会赢盘
. q; V6 X8 h6 m; M: x" L[size=2][color=#999999]dodoken2 发表于 2010-6-6 00:28[/color] [url=http://www.tcelue.com/redirect.php?goto=findpost&pid=148064&ptid=58999]http://www.tcelue.com/images/common/back.gif[/url][/size][/quote]0 b0 b. |& ]: Z; {* q) k
& f3 d* l3 [: k8 U( D, x, p0 Y
$ R" M5 q7 y! \9 O 欧赔比较弱，可不可以理解为欧赔的胜和平在降也是一种诱？ |
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