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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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当前离线
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! c- U; }! E2 J有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。/ f6 ?6 x+ @+ h% r& Z8 A+ Q
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这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。
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* }+ q" C6 i* e) l& w: Q* v为什么？
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1 v3 C4 T8 Y% }; B. s; c) k1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。8 @4 |( c8 h3 x }! g
2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。6 H* A: D0 x( p/ R. Y+ l& ?: p
假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。
! ]% D7 h0 f$ u4 q" m' R 第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/4
! x4 }, H+ z' [. s3 V( n8 ]8 u& ~ 第一把输，你没有了。& ?# @7 G H% ?
第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。
- L7 L; W2 e4 W. n2 F' y# M 第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。2 K) G$ w9 ], ?' e3 ]: V, I
…………无限下去。
" |+ a) ?5 F1 h) P清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……
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是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。5 f9 x; x5 y5 p" `2 Y' ^
5 f6 {3 g% T7 v) ~" x, m2 U. x$ O这就是总是输的原因。。
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为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？
9 U9 h6 E9 X3 `% m% s, ]3 C0 Z/ |% I" z5 }& M p' D
1、我觉得可以打偏差。
q9 b- d! i. |* Q2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。
U( s" A9 {8 f* t: |* a! }% x
9 X6 @* p6 r! _1 ]/ b# g但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。) n! |% [2 R% t" y! [
4 P; ~( n: |4 n% H; {' `$ N/ H人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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