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[lastpost] => 2763692 华尔街把它当成宝能翻身吗？以太坊三年不涨，背后到底谁在说谎？ 1757304896 右耳
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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.8行情虽熊 但低点支撑强硬 不予低位追空 相反埋伏短多长多 6月整体看修复
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近几日行情受消息影响、振幅较大。 7 [1 v5 ]/ R/ n8 X2 S
但综合，下不破29000、上不过32000. ( N3 A' h( D Y1 j$ r- R
依旧处于底部箱体阶段！
- x" i1 l" \9 k' k! Q* {5 }其中也看出上涨、不具备连续性！ ! T B4 S* n' b1 d
极易走出老韭菜口中的画门行情、 4 S4 D% a6 m- ?* M8 R
所以操作上、尽可能避免追涨杀跌！
! S% S1 [ n S3 u/ ?% o ~但可在空间内、逢日线高低峰值附近进行短线布局。 8 x& U- y* E9 {' e4 g# f) _7 p
技术面补充、 ( B: @# _- w1 h
在5.12创出低于5.19的26700低点后、
. r7 h3 ~5 L N. x$ q: \, H一月以来行情基本未再失守28000点，
; a# J, E7 ^* F# p9 o: [& e而以太多次坚挺于2700上方、
( G+ ~& k0 `0 ?1 U) P充分说明这两个支撑具有极强参考性！ 6 S; E7 T; S6 U0 h# {
也说明，该区域不具备更大抛压。 ' t7 l6 F0 u) k# k# y M8 g5 f
所以从趋势看，在6-8月间，未出现大于50基点，市场低点基本止于此。 " d6 M5 d/ W' T; z" q0 O. h- X. d
那长线来看、这两个点位，正是布局长线时机。
* y& S/ W- n1 c7 {* `1 _7 n短线也可以此为据、 ) a/ ?$ W8 j. `0 m
（这也是近半月未做短空、）
: v7 M9 j7 B5 ^: c: c7 ?消息上、 2 T; n" U8 m7 v) V
除bnb调查事件、 / a, K( c' D* ^1 B" {2 i! `
近期强调最多、是多部门建议加速规范加密JG。 ' F: e2 U- L2 \# V& g2 K2 h
紧密形成国际合作。 7 p8 ~( K; u Y4 m2 s
整体偏正面，有助于大饼登堂入室、
; x V" P3 a& q6 n+ I( b9 P% ^5 G综上、整体来看、
" H: N( d; }2 b市场上半年经历过多利空，行情一直低迷。
( R% H' j, w6 o: N! {1 A& J但看好下半年，最大问题“膨胀”得到控制。 ! ]6 M0 d5 u' J( E
且美股回温补涨、（一般加息过后、美股反涨7%-15%） ; g" \# l A" a1 t
那在9-10月开始降息。后续再停止缩表。
. ~+ |/ m& ]. W# e+ ]) G1 E1 T8 W市场必然迎来一轮较强涨幅。
* {4 u% O' P; d2 q& _# K* C0 D而六月、个人是不看好有更大利空出现。 ! ^, u _0 P9 q4 g4 T+ C
七月、即使同步加息50基点。
+ Y( c9 {9 N& W! I4 T9 O) h$ [个人认为、市场可承受！ ) i2 `; X4 v. n% t- V8 h& F8 f+ L; d, U
同幅度利空，市场再次经历，幅度必大打折扣。
$ \( w! p8 Y& W/ ]- R/ i近期重点关注周五、5月末季调cpi利率。 & J+ A" Z9 Z9 f2 q0 e }4 a |
日内价格处于平均振幅偏中轨、（多空不宜） % z2 d4 [0 k2 F
大饼建议回踩4小时低点 3 u5 E+ W& @. {) w+ v3 F& V, M
29900激进接多 7 g0 K: K3 z0 s
29650补仓 3 y; T3 |4 N8 p z! y8 ?
防守29300 / I$ O- ?0 ~1 i! @
目标看行情修复至30800-31500-32000
& k( }: m4 q, Q. b" z以太回踩1768激进接多 1 j Q4 ]+ ?. V- S0 B9 Z% `
1745补仓 # D4 |6 f9 Y& V: b; z
防守1720 ! F) b" P( I) o: P
目标看行情修复至1850-1870-1900 : k/ Y1 o6 J( H3 d# Q3 L* R
观点不变，熊市强硬支撑区不做追空。
3 S/ `0 N* o3 j+ z) s& {% i( ~# U短中线，依旧以低多为主。突破则留。反之做短。
; G1 H5 n' `+ u2 I& r看好7月加息前，市场出现阶段修复。
/ ~) U9 ]6 G% n0 U; Z6 z" I$ N在7月逼近出现小幅度回撤，直至8-10月、开始较大单边涨幅。
9 u ?. N4 [6 y, V: n4 c$ l切记注意长线进场时机。 0 _9 |- W: c8 Z
来源：金色财经 |
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