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加密货币周末暴跌，比特币将跌向何方？ i- R3 g7 F+ c0 P: l
因上周五晚公布的CPI数据显示美国通胀再创40年新高，加密货币周末整体出现更广泛的回落，以太坊一度跌逾6％至2021年3月以来最低水平，比特币则一度跌超5％，跌破27000美元，刷新逾一年低位。 + r3 B8 J5 p7 L; l7 m: P
几乎所有顶级代币都在周日下跌，狗狗币（Dogecoin）和雪崩币（Avalanche）等分别下跌9.4％和13％，但随后有所反弹。
3 R* c! V. [! H3 }! {' a 上周五公布的美国通胀数据超出预期，令物价上涨可能已见顶的希望破灭。美股大跌，而两年期美国国债收益率攀升至2008年以来的最高水平。最近几个月，随着美联储加息和全球政策制定者加大力度应对价格上涨，以及科技股等风险资产回落，比特币和其他加密货币早已遭受重创。 + n2 Q! `9 W2 ~ j
研报指出，美国5月CPI同比增长8.6％，再创新高；核心CPI同比增长6％，亦高于预期。从分项看，几乎所有重要项目都在涨价，显示通胀内生动能强劲，如果6月CPI按照当前的环比增速继续上涨，那么通胀水平还将更高。 # d W: H% _* E3 I
智胜认为，通胀创新高给美联储带来重大挑战，如果想要控制通胀，可能需要更激进的货币紧缩，而更紧的货币政策将加大经济下行压力，增加经济衰退概率。一种可能是美联储不得不以经济衰退为代价换取物价稳定，从而再现当年的“沃尔克时刻”。这也意味着海外资本市场调整未结束，股债双杀仍是主旋律。 , L1 P4 u9 R: M& \: ~; p
加密货币交易平台Luno的企业发展和国际副总裁Vijay Ayyar表示，看跌情绪可能持续到本周，如果回顾之前的熊市，比特币通常会下跌80％以上，山寨币跌幅通常超过90％。如果情况继续，接下来一两个月比特币价格将低得多。 $ w$ r- c- d; ?' ^
一些分析师表示，如果比特币跌破20000美元区间的较高档位置，它可能会迅速下跌至200周移动平均线（即22000美元），甚至是2017年的高点19511美元。 ) z E) P( {, n) a$ ?* p
根据Coinglass的数据，周日加密货币多头清算总额连续第三天超过1亿美元，周五为2.58亿美元，周六为2.9亿美元。MVIS CryptoCompare数字资产100指数（一种追踪100种最大代币表现的市值加权指标）跌至2021年1月以来的最低水平。 / x) u2 t/ O+ G$ _2 s: V
来源：金色财经 |
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