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今天是6月21，大饼的价格为2万左右，以太的价格在1100左右，今天似乎是在反弹，而不是反转，以太今天有点强！
+ d/ T# _' L! T+ r0 e2 J8 U比特币每轮上涨的原因都不相同，但背后的本质是资本推手，绝不是靠散户带动起来。
) v. w E, T$ V5 R上一轮比特币的上涨，有很大一部分原因是老美放水，虚拟货币承接一部分蓄水池，导致估值上涨，
3 G) r0 c) l$ X/ G& m0 o4 F/ y. P现在大家都清楚，老美现在缩表加息，也就是从蓄水池里面抽水，市场反应也是趋势向下，至少短时间来看，没有上涨的动机， & h2 Y, y5 X- |
从这几天来看，最低点在17000左右，但是我认为还有降低的空间，现在整个市场也是走一步看一步， - X8 A/ |; L/ G* g$ }; |
对于咱们散户来说，在没有资金优势 消息面..得情况下，唯一能决定得是耐心，在行情没有确定之前，耐心等待机会才是最稳妥，想在金融市场上赚钱，耐心等待机会远比自己瞎操作要稳妥得多。 " |- h1 K( _' Y- e5 u7 J6 `
近期就不要频繁做单了现货挺稳，等到有大级别反弹，现在大家都很恐慌，疯狂抛售，其实就我个人而言，是比较悲观的，经济大环境一坨屎，受一个加息政策影响，都抛售了。 9 W, R! k! m& [4 x& k# ~1 m% ]* \. l
我不认为现在已经跌到底部了，保守点讲750附近可能会盘整。悲观一点讲，疫情对全球经济的影响可能会慢慢浮现。
& G3 x5 ]5 c4 {8 Q0 n2 e9 V不要去预测底部，1000没撑住，就750， 750没大资金抄底，筑底，就550了，550没撑住，就会在100-400之间 1 p, R: i5 r; Y4 R
不停的震荡，等全球经济复苏，或者有更大的天鹅出现，迎来一波牛市。 ) Y3 }$ x2 t% F* h
极度恐慌之下就不要逆着行情去头铁了。可能会在某个位置停住大幅反弹，因为会有大资金需要解套。 $ }* M' e! K1 F- I% z
做现货的话，抗住反弹拿住，不割肉。利润还是很可观的，熊市囤币，牛市囤u，资金就会做起来的。
7 N. ]5 Z4 ?$ e4 B& w: Z" ~( p' Q道阻且长，行则降至，如果连耐心都没有，想赚钱，就只能看老天爷了 " k3 h- }$ i) Z2 Z1 Y
补充一个冷知识： 9 X, T7 {8 T; e) U* d( P0 N
从90%跌到95%，要再跌50%
* m L! \1 m' r从95%跌到99%，要再跌80% 4 o$ ~& t( B; n8 U7 O
从90%跌到99%，要再跌90%
; V. N4 G0 _3 x4 J; V/ @从98%跌到99%，要再跌50%
C* f) O, r5 j跌70%抄底，最后跌到95%，需要涨500%回本
4 P3 ~/ S1 M, E! l; E跌90%抄底，最后跌到99%，需要涨900%回本
7 {2 p* @3 w* \凡人只有底部区域，绝对底部是给神仙留的。 , A. d. I% G0 N& a1 b
来源：金色财经 |
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