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玩合约到底能不能赚到钱?99%的人归零了
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玩合约到最后,99%都是亏钱的;但合约过程中百分百的人,曾经赚过钱。
每个玩家在赚钱过程中,都会有赚钱不难嘛,以及我好厉害的错觉
初晓链前两天有一条微博,讨论做多BTC和ETH的合约该不该继续扛,有很多人参与讨论。
这是一个群友的合约多单,当时浮亏2wu;昨天市场大涨,BTC价格24500,ETH是1880,已经浮盈2wu多;今天市场又波动,盈亏也不断变化。
如果没有结束订单,一切只是数据而已,涨跌都不是尽头。
做多BTC和ETH浮亏2wu
做合约是玩预期,涨跌看市场,每个人的判断都有局限,要么涨跌要么横盘。
高倍开对方向,就是人生赢家;开错方向就是无底洞,爆仓是分分钟的事,或者多空双爆,一片哀嚎。
持续加保证金可能持续亏,最终还是扛不住,不仅资金归零,心态也会崩溃。
群里有一个大佬,合约玩过上亿流水,但最后也归零了。他现在苦口婆心劝大家不要玩,真的会倾家荡产,J破R亡。
玩的过程很刺激,盈亏都放大很多倍。因为投资交易会分泌大量的快乐因子多巴胺,人很容易沉迷在其中的快乐。一玩就上头,一上头就停不下来,于是越陷越深。
快乐因子多巴胺分泌排行榜
有个群友说合约是公平的方式,有50%概率会赢。
理论上说没错,比如投入1000,开空或开多,总是有赢的机会。
但人性是害怕损失的,开错方向还不认错,继续加保证金死扛,扛到最后没Q继续加,最后爆了。
人性也是贪婪的,开对方向赚了,不止盈,涨了5个点,还在等10个点,等着等着市场又在波动中大跌,盈利变成亏损,最后也爆了。
比如前面开多BTC和ETH,昨天没有止盈,今天又浮亏了。
有玩家开玩笑说,某圈赚钱某圈花,一分也难带回家,也是大部分人在圈子盈亏的写照。
任何行业都是二八原则,只有少数人赚到了,大部人是陪跑的。
有个大佬说玩web3项目,账户余额只是限时提款凭证 |
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