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美元指数创20年来新高 比特币价格将走向何处？
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在美联储加强对通胀前景的鹰派评论后，风险资产全面抛售，加密货币仍在遭受负面影响。比特币的价格走势又回到了20,000美元以下的区域，交易员和分析师预计将重新测试今年 6 月的低点。 尽管在 9 月加息决定之前，美联储目前一切都保持平静，但由于地缘政治不确定性和通胀持续存在，仍有很大的不安，投资者想知道未来几天BTC/USD可能走向何方。 现货价格触发 18,000 美元目标 BTC/USD 在8月28日结束时大幅抛售，导致自7月初以来的最低单周收盘价。分析师的情绪在短期内不太乐观，这是可以理解的。 
交易员Josh Rager在周末的更新中向推特粉丝总结道：“希望我们能在本周看到复苏，但股市周五收盘的方式看起来并不那么好。” 尽管如此，加密热门交易账户 Il Capo 还是注意到了在继续下跌趋势之前短暂挤压上行的可能性。他指出，负融资利率意味着衍生品市场倾向于直接亏损，他预测，2.3万美元可能首先重新出现。 他在推特上写道，“期待 19000美元的人比期待 23000美元的人多得多。资金说明了一切。此外，在 21000 美元上方有大量的流动性。” 作为回应，交易员 Mark Cullen 指出，交易员“在 20100美元到 20300美元之间的区域增加了更多的 BTC 空头头寸。” 在 17,000 美元或更低的呼声中，技术分析师 Gert van Lagen 给出了日线图 17,500 美元的最低目标。 
与此同时，TMV Crypto表示，18400 美元是一个值得关注的区域。 交易员为美股进一步下跌做准备 上周五美联储主席鲍威尔演讲的重磅炸弹在全球风险资产中引发了冲击波。 根据一项统计，鲍威尔 8 分钟的讲话从全球股市中蒸发了超过 2 万亿美元，其中仅美国股市就蒸发了1.25万亿美元。 
鲍威尔说，“在某个时候，随着货币政策立场进一步收紧，放慢加息步伐可能会变得合适”。 富国银行投资研究所全球市场策略主管Paul Christopher在彭博电视台发表讲话时警告称，美国股市将进一步下跌，标准普尔 500 指数接下来将跌破 4,000 点。 另一方面， 7月份的通胀峰值已经预示着股市的宏观低点。 
美元指数创20年来新高 本周股市动荡的一个关键因素仍然是美元走强。 由于本周美元指数 (DXY) 创下 20 年新高，美元表现与风险资产之间的负相关关系成为人们关注的焦点。 在 8 月 29 日撰写本文时，这些高点仍在继续，DXY 已达到 2002 年 9 月以来的最高峰值 109.47。 
Global Macro Investor 的创始人 Raoul Pal 回应说，“如果美元继续上涨，那真的会破坏局面。” Micha |
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