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楚悦辰：9.15比特币暴跌不要太悲观守得云开才能见月明
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不得不说，美联储经过强加息后，CPI通胀率只下降了0.2%，这个下滑的幅度慢到让人绝望！这个数据也向市场表明，美国国内通胀的强度和深度确实是异常可怕的，美联储过去已经采取的加息力度根本不够看！
我们要知道，美国现在的基准利率已经达到2.5%，如果这个月再加息75基点的话，那么妥妥的就是3.25%的基准利率了。本年基准利率轻松过4，甚至奔5奔6都有可能。
如果CPI压不下去，那么全球加息的进程就会一直持续，这样的背景下全球的需求就会暴跌，全球经济就会进入通缩期。
经济通缩是非常恐怖的，一旦通缩后，那些泡沫比较大的行业，比如全球房地产行业、科技行业、新能源汽车行业等等都会面临很大的估值危机，导致股价、币价出现暴跌，甚至引发金融危机。
总结来说，8月CPI公布之后，美联储只有一条路，继续疯狂加息以遏制创记录的通货膨胀，而加息+缩表，必然以牺牲股市为代价，避免整个经济体系的崩溃……
这个对币圈来说不友好，但是大家也不要太担心，这个进程是一步一步来的，其中的变数很多，美联储既要加息压通胀，也要考虑经济情况保股市，反正挺难！
楚悦辰：9.15比特币技术分析及交易参考
昨天和大家聊了一下，后市币圈的情况。我们依然保持积极的态度，因为大饼这个东西存在一定有其道理，而且经过去年到今年一年的打压，目前已经处于比较低位的水平，低于很多投行及大机构的持仓水平。
比较好的情况就是在加息之前，大饼能够保持在20000附近窄幅震荡，18500能够支撑住，这个是比较理想的情况，只要保持在此上方后市反弹才会更加强劲一些。
昨天我在文章中也给了19800—20000的多单，夜间这个点位也到了，但是已经很晚了，如果不是挂单很少人能够做得进去，由于行情波动很小，也只是小盈利。
日线技术面由于前天的大阴柱显示空头占优，KDJ死叉向下，MACD红色动能柱缩量，技术面走空这个很正常，但是短线已经平稳了，小时图在19500—20500之间窄幅震荡。所以日内操作上，我们也选择在此区间内做多空，实盘会有现价提醒进场。
具体操作建议
1、19500附近多单，若有19000适当补仓多单，目标20300—20500，止损18500。
2、20300—20500空单，目标19500，止损21000
在行情没有走出来之前任何一种分析都是对的，而且都有对的理由，但是任何一个单子都不会绝对的准确，都有风险性，所以赚钱的前提一定是做好风控。行情实时变化，策略点位仅做参考，不作为入场依据，投资有风险，盈亏自负。
勤奋的乌龟能跑赢兔子，懒惰的兔子只能成为笑话，机遇总是垂青于有准备之人。没有韧性的把持、没有耐心地等待，那么自己就没有机会看到旖旎动人的彩虹。任何人如果总是浅尝辄止、一知半解，那么休想获取机会的垂青与眷顾！只有默默无闻地用心去做好每一件事情，有一天终会功到自然成的，生命之舟将会水涨船高！
人生最怕什么都想计较，却又什么都抓不牢。失去的风景，走散的人，等不来的渴望，全都住在缘分的尽头。何必太执着，该来的自然来，会走得留不住。放开执念，随缘是最好的生活。不是世界选择了你，是你选择了这个世界。既然没有净土，不如静心；既然没有如愿，不如释然。
文/楚悦辰
来源：金色财经 |
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