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DB的魅力在于,有赢有输,对于赢家来说,一夜翻身,不要太爽。0 E) f& U% f/ ]
$ T% n( x7 i: q4 _8 q$ R0 @就算输一次,还有打缆的方式,不断加倍,保证盈利。
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真是富贵在天,生死有命。
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g) ~ S# K6 a: [/ n" m于是我假设赔率1:1,自己推演了一番。1 k: |( T1 F8 d) D( o
" ^8 R% a. [/ w0 e. A6 z' H8 H有一些基本事实:- v* J! }) i0 o3 f/ C
. {+ w& K9 ^ P4 I1,独立性:每次DB都是独立事件,这次赢和下次输完全不相关。2 |' V" o; L: c. M2 F& @' Y
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2,大数定律不适用:抛硬币的次数越多,正面和反面各自出现的次数就越接近。但是要做上千上万次实验才会使其非常接近。 y- _; S3 N1 x6 N2 e% {
8 v. U! k2 ^$ X* ]有一些基本方法:0 ^* k1 Q3 ]! P9 m5 h# @
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1,打缆:输一次加注一次,假设第一次输1000,下次押2000可能盈利1000,再输,下4000保证盈利1000,以此类推。. q" y( x( [8 |9 I# p: `
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有一些心理规律:
" n4 l3 \( N& Z" S7 ~4 X o/ p+ ?. \& w2 r' H% N" f* f
(此处假设6次是因为,正规赌场为了保证盈利,只给你6次机会)$ @' \& b7 W5 Q3 E: r' }7 o
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1,我们可能连续赢钱,假设我们连续6次,当我们连续赢钱的时候,总觉得下次就要亏了,信心递减,所以很可能不断地减少下注,1000,800,600,400,200,100,总计盈利3100块8 r' t, r- M% P7 C
& u) o2 m$ H$ t q+ M, E8 U2,我们可能连续输钱,假设我们连续6次,当我们连续输钱的时候,总觉得下次就要赢了,信心渐增,所以可能不断地加倍的下注,1000,2000,4000,8000,16000,32000,总计亏损63000块
0 R- j) z6 A+ R- i
7 @6 j* d3 C; x" d7 p# r(很明显,都是连续6次,概率近乎相等,但盈利或亏损金额却完全不对等;再者,第六次下注32000,只是为了盈利1000块,32000对1000) |
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老哥这样的盈利也是特别让我嫉妒啊,到底是怎样做到的 |
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方法最后一段话觉得是有感觉的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟时运太差了。 |
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