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[虚拟币交流]
比特币站上3万美元失败！分析师：失去关键支撑 黑暗时刻将临（转载）
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昨日(2)比特币一度在上午突破3万美元最高来到30,047美元，可惜后续动能不足，又快! X6 b( ?! d7 Q" ?# E
速下挫。今(3)日零点时一度跌穿2.9万美元，目前持续力守能站稳2.9万美元关卡。6 j: W8 n4 Z8 \
比特币短期走势分析
7 P" P6 i" k! F3 z对于比特币又再次回到震荡区间，加密货币市场分析师Charles Edward在最近一份报告中指出，比特币下跌趋势2 a+ [% [% \! S% [, S3 ?$ ~
很可能持续，因为比特币已经失去了关键支撑–50日移动平均线(MA)。* t& F/ o# f; X7 o6 `! E' V# S1 ?
他认为如果比特币不能站回3万美元，那技术分析告诉我们BTC的下一个支撑位是28,000美元、24,000美元和低位
) d/ D, m7 G$ D' [20,000美元，每个支撑位都提供了相对好的入场机会。
2 D! j. m- T* O/ q7 N# m; T不过Edward的报告虽然在短期内保持谨慎，长期仍维持看涨前景。- \( f$ x* v( B- Y) @
比特币波动压力到达顶峰，爆发即将到来* {. \! J: w; f) I) s/ U
另一方面，研究机构K33 Research发布也一份最新比特币研报指出，当前的低波动性正处于「火山爆发」前夕，# ~" G& {* K3 d# H% T0 G: [; e
只是会往上、还是下尚未有定论。
5 Z6 s/ j) f% S7 z0 W) R报告指出比特币当前5日波动率已低于传统证券、甚至是黄金：比特币的五日波动率目前低于纳斯达克指数、标普
5 J3 M% t3 g3 p( n$ }0 y0 C500指数，甚至低于黄金。IVs也紧随其后，跌至历史最低点。
& ]; b; u3 W$ j, T时间再拉长一些，比特币当前30天的波动率也已来到近5年的低点，这样的低波动率仅在2019年1月持续了8天。
9 ]6 P+ _! _0 v$ n& q7 ~3 C历史经验告诉我们，比特币的波动性减弱往往意味着即将出现较大幅度的波动，因此当前的低波动期或许很快将! e; H& g6 O* I% L7 s9 ~! i% B
结束。K33高级分析师Vetle Lunde对此表示：我的短期观点是，市场的波动压力即将到达顶峰，爆发即将到来- c3 E. b9 n0 x; g/ m% c7 f
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