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[虚拟币交流]
比特币再跌破2.6万美元!但BTC、ETH交易所余额创5年新低(转载)
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加密货币市场波动性持续走低,比特币在2.6万美元窄幅震荡超十天后,今(28)日下午1: B9 n A; o% G! D
点半左右再度跌破,撰稿当下报25,969美元,过去30天内的跌幅达11.2%。
# v j6 v7 I+ q但近期的下跌不同于此前熊市的绝望,市场似乎有不少投资者更倾向于判断当下已接近熊市的尾声,以下是他们: _' `% Y" X& p+ ^ P: G- y6 O
常提出、看好市场将反转的讯号。
! x$ W( G6 s: Z! Q' e! q比特币、以太坊在交易所余额创下五年新低
# \' w. ]6 P- ^. @6 a( {! D6 J% i据Glassnode数据,比特币和以太币在交易所的余额创下近5年低点,当前BTC在交易所的余额仅为2,256,045
+ B5 U, d8 ~0 @. A- t. ?; g$ C枚,ETH的余额为14,736,436枚。
! U: H* @- e w* Q# i2 |Crypto Quant:机构抄底囤BTC
# ]. }) p* t! x$ R另一方面,据CryptoQuant.com从钱包的存提数据指出,机构正在不断买入比特币。另有2.77万枚BTC从交易所" M" @, G1 v {- U
Gemini的钱包地址中取出,分别被转移到地址开头为1QB、1Et和35g等钱包。推测机构可能在此段期间选择抄底
/ S8 o+ A7 H1 h# r! p' Q买入,等待牛市到来在转至交易所卖出获利。 E6 S$ G* y4 }% v Z* \9 M2 S
另一方面,CryptoQuant.com数据显示,过去一年,美国交易所Coinbase、Gemini和Kraken的比特币储备下降
( [1 V+ n2 d% s了至少30%、甚至超50%;但相反的,币安、OKX和Bitfinex等非美国交易所的比特币储备则增加10%以上。推测. ?3 s1 m0 ?3 V8 s
此现象与市场冷清和交易所受到监管打击有关。2 V" F. V6 J4 x# }/ X
市场关注减半行情、比特币现货ETF4 h4 d( \0 \, \7 j5 R1 c( R
同时间,明年比特币将迎来减半行情,这在中长期以来,一直被认为是启动加密市场大幅上涨的强力催化剂。
& K( H% G6 z( {- H Y- n再加上市场也特别关注比特币现货ETF是否会顺利通过SEC的审查。本月初,彭博资深ETF分析师Eric Balchunas
$ x9 S& {0 h% g4 A2 {: U8 m曾透露:「比特币现货ETF的批准可能会在四到六个月内,而不是『是否』的问题,大大加强了即将通过的预期。
" b- i c& O) z8 Y2 j i H上述两个事件的发展也都有可能为比特币带来强大推力,值得我们持续关注。但还是要提醒,目前联准会的紧缩
7 L6 F/ z6 ~7 ~5 s+ D; A( Z! D货币政策仍然未松绑、全球经济前景仍然暧昧不明,投资者在做决定前必须做好准备、小心控管风险。1 }% b7 V: X6 U5 Z1 P' B' R1 I
( V+ W4 h6 d7 z1 S4 D; }" Z M$ e8 R, A; o
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这个币安交易所听说很厉害啊,才创立多少年就被称三大交易所了! |
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