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[lastpost] => 2768312 金价创高却引发卖金潮，比特币会是下一个避险港湾？ 1758990388 天策-瑶娥
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[虚拟币交流]
Arthur Hayes：机构的比特币ETF规模太大恐扼杀比特币（6日转）
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比特币现货ETF可能很快就会获得美国证券交易委员会(SEC)批准的预期，是不少投资人认
0 _8 T2 j' j6 `为近期币价上涨的一大主因。但是据《Blockworks》今(6)日报导，BitMEX共同创办人Arthur Hayes在稍早接受0 z+ A0 _$ L8 a7 k
专访时提出隐忧：如果BlackRock的ETF变得过于庞大，它实际上可能会“杀死比特币”，因为那将是一堆无法移
! U& Z1 H6 H" ~5 T4 X5 B% G3 \动的比特币。# G. c% R1 {0 a/ Q
机构的比特币ETF规模太大恐扼杀比特币9 I8 Z, F) C! B3 `$ L& q @4 m
Hayes解释，如果国家需要其公民留在法定货币银行系统中，以便通过通货膨胀来征税，以偿还不断增长的债
6 K6 m7 a* ^. k; k. r务。那么国家可能会影响这些机构(变成国家代理人)，通过ETF这样的工具来持有用户资金。
+ Y" R8 n% K, e“机构本质上是服从国家的，将资金存放在ETF工具中…”/ v1 W% Y' \5 S( d
Hayes认为在这样的系统中，人们实际上无法使用比特币，因为它成为了一种金融资产，而不是比特币本身。人
# Z2 b: D6 Z( Y8 [9 h4 F, O" p" U们用法定货币购买了这种衍生品，资产管理者随后购买了一些比特币并将其存放在托管机构中。) i: r) S2 v+ [- p) r- {8 ]5 @$ A
虽然Hayes无法100%确定，但他提出一种我们最终可能不希望看到的局面。' H4 \0 n1 D9 ]* a5 q) A% c/ P- @
机构可能会掌握少数矿企# B( x# J7 S: q Q7 s% [
另一方面，Hayes还警告说，如果这些机构投资人未来持有大量的比特币矿企公司的股份时，可能会进一步加强 _& E$ O8 C0 \/ E
对网络共识机制的控制。他指出：为确保比特币仍然是「坚如磐石的加密货币资产」可能需要进行某些升级，特: | b5 d0 b+ V- |1 s3 ]
别是在加密和隐私方面，这些升级不一定与传统金融机构立场保持一致。( s! ?6 C* Q! \' u
Hayes认为，比特币是国家货币的对立面，它是「为我们这些人民存在的」，让人们有能力将资金传递到世界各
8 M B' \+ w8 J8 q4 `地。但他也提出疑问，如果大部分比特币最终落入一个或少数几个机构的托管之下会发生什么？# ]- y ?4 b+ k9 e
当然，Hayes也认为当比特币获得更广泛的采用，无疑会推动价格的再提高，但他认为我们今天如因为短期的利
" F- _3 k; e+ }, m益而感到兴奋，可能会在未来导致巨大的灾难：是的，ETF来了，价格可能会涨到新高—但如果一个机构持有所有
) Y Q p% ?. P x6 d$ d这些加密货币，最终的结果是什么？5 u1 G' f; C* v8 p, Q4 c" Y
Arthur Hayes解释比特币价格近期飙升原因？
5 j; Y: y2 z) A$ s6 K9 d2 |3 P就在十月底时，Arthur Hayes也曾指出近期比特币价格飙升背后的原因，并非仅因市场普遍预期的比特币现货
: i: p; b8 r4 L6 l: FETF获批。其他原因还有中东地区的紧张局势、及其可能对金融市场造成的冲击。, E+ o/ a9 N! c2 j' y+ N
Hayes在长期美国国债失去吸引力的情况下，投资者将寻求替代资产，黄金和比特币因此成为了首选，转投比特
\1 o' X& K" ]! W币是对未来美元贬值和战争导致的高通膨的一种避险措施。
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