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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2， }& ]: A6 b! D) F2 X! x: V0 W' W
9 v+ O% A) i0 k" l# @比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？% e+ l4 G* L5 r
我们认为至少有以下几个原因：* o; u5 W/ v2 O3 v
6 u5 Q2 Z0 b! j* i- P2 N" u1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在
$ U* l2 [4 G) ^- `: Y) w# b& \
2 t, Z# \; K1 {0 l7 _没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过0 j+ W: H* n. z! u
# i+ d8 i+ k0 N' r1 {5 L! V6 u中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全
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. i1 ?5 ], Z7 r; }$ t7 I. u去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长$ o" J* T+ C( M; R+ C; K/ v% ~0 `
& S; s/ _$ g) K% |- C5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH
. Q7 B) c0 G5 R: X* C; `
. T' Q& v8 N0 L9 [& cLayer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和7 h) \- {* K& l: b9 [
7 f! w5 q7 }: C4 O& jETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿
' B+ a8 I1 A7 r% J+ Z# I& J3 Q( g5 [' V0 w2 S( ~9 L
美金）。' V9 A& I$ L* Y" `* R
R8 S" L% C: O. } q( w
. X# e+ Z. M6 H
2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态
. U0 C! r6 t7 ^. @7 _- ?+ e' u$ Q b3 p8 w, D* V) s; ` c
比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去
1 S& s" H3 p, F6 Y7 `6 }2 J( [
) p0 I6 l7 | a) e& G) m/ u构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
# ~1 A- M5 H8 M8 q# E9 d
* `# n6 r* {) b1 X6 V1 Z3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户
( W! Q8 ~ y! Q4 n: q! F1 Q! r5 ]+ M" @8 |5 O% M7 ]
尤其大资金的信任和青睐。
" \) E, \: h7 q9 ^- d
; V- ~" Q9 C1 O/ E9 X. l$ ~4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL
$ c1 W! n0 _, Z3 a% J7 Y6 y8 x0 D. x; m
约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如
) J; e$ _3 d* W: X: x( I- o$ @& Q5 v) c% J* t4 I
果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美) e1 b0 h3 z! ?: d- V
* |/ \! y. ~, z* X% S; V
金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
9 ], [, R2 O* `- [ n) x' V) m" x# T1 g$ p( f/ f' |
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& q: c; l/ E7 s) ?3 B A
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