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[虚拟币交流]
Fed暗示2024降息三次！比特币冲破4.3万美元（14日转）
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美国联准会(Fed)在9、11月连续两次暂停升息后，于今(14)日凌晨3点释出的FOMC声明
% [7 o" U, c. e: A中，三度维持联邦基准利率在5.25%~5.50%区间不变，一如市场此前预期。
, H3 |6 j( f: B; S, \且令投资者兴奋的事，主席鲍威尔(Powell)透露降息也已进入Fed视野。
4 i, c$ i$ u. W) E4 E4 m' `官员预计：2024将降息3次
M: G2 |) f3 j! E3 B# G1 U) l/ ^虽然Fed在FOMC声明中仍强调实现2%的通货膨胀率是其最终目标，但最新的经济数据表明，经济增长较第三季
0 E3 `; N! c* I, }度有所放缓，就业依然保持强劲、失业率也维持在较低水平。因此，联准会官员在决定维持利率不变的同时，也' [" o3 Y& O0 H$ ]
已经开始讨论降息的时机。, ^5 U9 d4 F1 ?5 ~: ]: b
主席鲍威尔表示：这将是我们展望未来的一个主题，Fed官员预计明年将三次降息25个基点，这将推动市场大幅0 ]( {; V6 h0 w
走高。1 F# h& c( i4 S# w3 j9 a6 s" h
且根据利率点阵图，联准会官员还预计将在2025年再降息四次，他们相信，将不再需要通过提高利率的方式来缓
! R# X, i' ?1 n4 b解CPI压力，因为到今年年底，通膨率将放缓至2.8%，2024年底则将降至2.4%。
- ?2 ]" i" P Q. B比特币冲破4.3万
4 |- B, B h2 c, m7 j& ~8 V受到Fed宣布不加息、并透露明年考虑降息的激励下，比特币在今(14)晨六点最高来到43,475美元。
! ?, s% m$ ~; k4 ]9 r截稿前略有回落，报42,773美元/近24小时涨幅为3.2%。
& {: e- {! C% p& o, g以太坊同样呈现上涨趋势，稍早最高攀上2284美元，截稿前报2,255美元/近24小时涨幅为2.3%。# f# h6 K1 l z8 h; O0 f" B
美股四大指数齐扬
' }' k7 m" x* L6 n7 E- X回到美股方面，表现也相当亮眼，四大指数齐涨、道指更是创下历史新高：3 e# V- m6 { m
道琼工业指数：上涨512.3点(1.4%)，收37090.24点- n+ A; N; _/ t% r+ f. f. F) ^
纳斯达克指数：上涨200.57点(1.38%)，收14733.96点, W% J( l W7 N6 {& b V
标普500指数：上涨63.39点(1.37%)，收4707.09点6 g: c- V. p% a+ F) E- @
费城半导体指数：上涨60.77点(1.55%)，收3990.95点/ q% Z, ~+ V. \; p4 V5 D9 q% W
美国10年债殖利率跌破4%' x! B" A8 e, G; x* D- j
另外美国10年期公债殖利率也呈现较剧烈的下跌，撰稿时跌破4%。
2 K M! Y( u; Q; J! `被誉为「新债券天王」的双线资本(Double Line)创办人Jeffrey Gundlach就预测，美国10年期公债殖利率明年将
4 n! P: S: \" H7 \) \跌到更接近3%水平。
9 T! z5 {7 }) v4 e! w
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