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[虚拟币交流]
以太坊（ETH）已经死了吗，还是很快就会超越比特币？分析师解答（转载）
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加密货币分析师 Michaël van de Poppe 最近谈到了以太坊的表现不佳，特别是考虑到 Solana 令人印象深刻的超过 100 美元的表现。这位分析师提出了这样的问题：“以太坊是死了吗？还是会超越比特币？”
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最近几周，ETH 相对于比特币的表现一直不佳，van de Poppe 将这种趋势描述为“有机且自然的价格变动”。他解释说，在 ETF 出现之前，一切都倾向于比特币，但预计 ETH 也会效仿。
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分析师表示，造成这种表现不佳的原因有两个： - 聚光灯下的比特币：由于现货 ETF 可能在未来几周内获得批准，比特币引起了人们的关注。这增加了人们对比特币作为投资资产的兴趣，并将焦点从以太坊转移开。此外，比特币减半事件即将到来，这也是事情向比特币而非其他山寨币倾斜的另一个主要原因。
- 季节性：分析师认为，正如市场存在季节性一样，周期也会发生。从历史价格走势来看，第一季度是以太坊生态的优秀时期，而最后一个季度则是最差时期。( ^( ?* D2 n3 j6 a
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尽管目前存在负面情绪，但范德波普认为以太坊还远未消亡。他认为以太坊将接管而不是消亡，原因如下： - 从 PoW 到 PoS 的转变：ETH 由于从工作量证明（PoW）到权益证明（PoS）的转变而引起关注。分析师表示，真正的影响还需要时间才能显现出来，但预计随着整个生态系统的根本性增长，这种影响会在明年显现出来。这可能会引起人们对以太坊的更大兴趣，以太坊具有通货紧缩性，可能成为比比特币更令人兴奋的投资资产。
- 现货ETF应用：正如比特币有现货ETF应用一样，以太坊也有现货ETF应用，该应用将在比特币获得批准后脱颖而出。这位分析师表示，这可能比比特币更重要，因为它将为基于以太坊构建并分类为 ETF 的去中心化应用程序 (dApp) 打开大门。
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