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[虚拟币交流]
$BTC 2024开门红, 1月底突破5万, 年底前突破12.5万？（转）
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今天是2024年第一个工作日，BTC也是来了一个开门红，一大早就5 r) `6 Z6 H8 ^3 ^
1 h7 g' [# {4 F
突破了45000刀，看这个架势可能在ETF正式通过之前很难回调了，按照4 Y: I) y/ J% @8 O9 X! q1 A7 m! ]
5 A" M8 q- I2 Q: W9 i
matrixport的预测， 一月份大饼将会突破50000刀。这个matrixport是吴8 T) n m6 W$ r3 K
; |! x& R# n. R: R忌寒旗下的机构，近期预测还蛮准，10月的时候就预测大饼年底前破4万，
4 i; b' i8 t9 g/ O7 k# @0 ?
( h! B& P1 Q) W$ I9 a/ T# Q这个算是实现了，另外这家机构还有中短期预测，短期就是1月破5万，中 ^; A3 \2 ^% ^1 u
# E2 W; ^3 }- [/ p3 I1 E
期是本轮牛市大饼突破12.5万，这俩都可以期待下。
; {% r9 a. X+ h& X% Y; C& `& V9 I: bETF的最新消息，其实假期这两天并没有ETF被批准的正式消息，不过小道
: E# E$ i$ p1 W* B- D* W
! ]; f* h4 ?4 l9 q0 g消息还是不少的。前晚就有号称业内人士透露的，说是SEC最早会在小周二, |8 g: a( c: U& X+ }0 `
1 I: A% E M5 Q0 [+ A4 Q
或周三正式通知各大机构ETF批准的好消息，而且是几家同时批准的消息。
% O+ L8 g' f& l6 Y. p$ ^6 F4 b0 V0 _& X' C/ ^ { @& f6 C9 F
另外一个小道消息来自昨晚，说是有分析师在期权成交数据中读到了现货$ I" `. ^8 S! o# `+ F
- d# j- R' V, }# \; f
ETF将在1月上半月落地，且该消息出来后大饼就顺利突破45000了，然后短
" d# c V. z2 m7 b9 [ B& l
5 j; i. u2 C; q期期权IV也出现了爆拉。另外灰度还在继续招聘ETF产品专家和合规人员，
. B! a$ }# k3 c3 Q! O# g% d4 r: v" H V' C" |8 `) I" w9 O
负溢价也来到3点几，这说明灰度GBTC距离转为现货ETF也很近了。4 @# g3 I/ `) _/ A
) {8 [$ V; d% I- F* Z1 |$ y
3 Y' C) h3 H& u% n; z8 c7 `4 L |
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