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[lastpost] => 2812048 散户0.61极度恐高！巨鲸1.45倍重仓逼空，深度揭秘bard为何暴涨（转） 1773201549 德罗星
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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘！鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽！（转）
[复制链接]
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
4 N+ F! l3 f0 D0 |) {( a8 I' a
% _) k/ K: b, k4 L! `过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。5 j8 G" O) n6 ?: x; R
链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日，比特币（BTC）出现大幅波动，当0 g4 j6 V3 x( `, b& H
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天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力，但未实现净损益（NUPL）等链上指标表明市场+ o9 Z& j! r- I* Q$ m$ h+ J
7 I) d1 m' d8 ?+ R8 O4 U处于健康的看涨状态。; j4 Z s4 l% A
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AMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值，但在12月中旬
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短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象，引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF
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获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。
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( y5 i0 G( x J0 `AMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况，评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来，
# g% D5 F5 _+ @5 g/ D& H8 w/ E' {) H7 Q. Z* i$ k% w o7 R
Coinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提
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8 ^# J4 `% V( _0 p5 u7 @. J3 `及，但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。
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其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率，即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较) g; m$ S& \% |* I4 ~2 {
9 h( C" v0 W* Y* F b5 t低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升，表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强
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( J M Y- q1 h, i& k劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。
9 Q u) b! x& |8 ?: g# ^, q8 o' a* y& ~, G( M# {
然而，该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限，表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF
( U6 F/ ?$ j+ E" S4 R0 F8 N9 H$ q6 m" ?1 L8 I4 X
申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。3 _& A8 g9 R, d4 o% s* w0 W
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虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高，但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日，比特币
6 s7 [$ h i0 B! r- Q, u! e8 a) ]) B2 d
NUPL攀升至0.5以上，这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反，市场既不处于欣喜状态，也不
7 s* P9 g& D2 |, K- e! X% [0 s9 h( O0 A
绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期，这也与比特币最近几个月无法, N; w/ b- c6 W k. F
5 s5 n! U1 m1 N7 u* \1 R1 K
继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。
K( e9 o0 { ]2 z2 w1 j( ~- t) T# `9 J
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. b8 M) M& o6 d因此，比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的( Q( t; X, N3 V7 n+ W, L P
4 a7 h2 d& B. y! p7 H* C9 u关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
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