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[虚拟币交流]
比特币现货ETF获批后，比特币价格有望一路飙升?（转）
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美国证券监管机构终于如市场所预期的那样批准了比特币现货ETF，这些ETF美东时间上周四
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正式开始交易。这一批准可能将刺激比特币价格继续暴涨，影响全球众多资产管理公司的资产配置% y! h8 O5 e2 h6 n+ z/ Q2 c
2 d e& M4 [3 h4 g" g比例，以及刺激加密货币交易所Coinbase(COIN.US)和类似MicroStrategy(MSTR.US)等加密货币公" o3 e& t- F2 E, b' T3 K$ g
$ V* _, V9 v( k4 W0 K2 y司的股票价值升值，同时为一些币圈较小规模的初创公司创造出巨额的潜在价值。: F+ F( l& ]7 m& {" Q* S
在2024年，6.9万美元这一比特币价格最高历史纪录很可能将被打破。一些业内高管坚称新一轮比
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# R% J) V2 g, H) q& n k特币牛市已经开始，主要基于两件重磅事件:分别是比特币“减半”事件，以及比特币交易所交易基金& }% |: |, L1 b* t! d( K3 L
' E J. R8 G; a' `# [$ c) k(比特币现货ETF)在美国首次获得批准。- Z7 d6 K2 Y& p
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来自CoinShares的研究主管James Butterfill表示，在美国ZF批准比特币ETF的推动之下，加密货
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7 H+ ]7 }' ?& @, {9 a/ A h币资产的前景将在2024年发生“重大变化”。“这一期待已久的发展将扩大加密货币资产的投资者基础，- G# D4 s8 ~ e( ~/ ]
' Z: e$ ` a3 q# q- \并将其与传统金融市场更紧密地整合在一起，”Butterfill接受媒体采访时表示。
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“有预测数据显示，从目前资产管理机构管理的资产中增加20%的投资(大约30亿美元)可能会将比特
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8 t0 {3 K8 O$ ?& ^+ m" ^3 h币的价格推高至8万美元。”与此同时，Butterfill补充称，全球央行降息的预期也可能在推动比特币价
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! a1 m0 a( A! d& l2 x格走高方面“发挥决定性的作用”。) s0 m. t( ~! c/ O1 l3 o
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在2023年11月，渣打银行(Standard Chartered)发布报告表示，10万美元大关将受到众多ETF获批的大
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; G' r& z! |! |; I0 Y0 D- |0 Y力推动。该行还表示，减半大事件也将支持比特币价格趋势。早在4月份，渣打银行就发布报告预测称，
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$ }: F; C5 U- D. D/ B) o2024年年底比特币有望冲击10万美元。" ~; d% K5 v0 J, }- C9 _+ j2 ^
7 T( {+ _) C0 q# G0 X4 e! {
自称为加密金融服务公司的Matrixport在11月发布了一份重磅报告，预计比特币到2024年4月将达到
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63140美元，到2024年年底将达到12.5万美元。/ g* c/ M1 u$ r; G
7 o; v" z7 t5 q“根据我们的通胀模型，预计宏观环境放松仍将是加密货币的强劲推动力。预计通货膨胀率将再次下
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7 ?: `( x/ l3 P# n; b. g# H3 M降，这可能促使美联储开始降息周期。”“再加上地缘ZZ‘逆流’，因此这种健康的货币支持政策应该5 ^$ H7 Q+ r7 ~. t
l* ^* D1 [$ _# u1 Q9 y会在2024年将比特币推向新高。”Matrixport在报告中表示。, V9 O) ~* G$ [4 I4 [1 c
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