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[虚拟币交流]
比特币现货ETF获批后，比特币价格有望一路飙升?（转）
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美国证券监管机构终于如市场所预期的那样批准了比特币现货ETF，这些ETF美东时间上周四5 i) d+ w2 Y" s
/ L2 r3 F5 O+ t正式开始交易。这一批准可能将刺激比特币价格继续暴涨，影响全球众多资产管理公司的资产配置
+ Z3 ~4 ]% O t! f. {# E4 z" U- H! W$ P P
比例，以及刺激加密货币交易所Coinbase(COIN.US)和类似MicroStrategy(MSTR.US)等加密货币公' H7 y9 W$ i0 \
) F1 b% @% B" Q( L9 `司的股票价值升值，同时为一些币圈较小规模的初创公司创造出巨额的潜在价值。- j( ?8 h) Q4 @, D
在2024年，6.9万美元这一比特币价格最高历史纪录很可能将被打破。一些业内高管坚称新一轮比6 y9 Y2 {) E, M! E: H5 h1 F+ C8 ^
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特币牛市已经开始，主要基于两件重磅事件:分别是比特币“减半”事件，以及比特币交易所交易基金
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5 w. P" ?: o) l6 C3 Z- ~(比特币现货ETF)在美国首次获得批准。; u0 K" D: y( }
3 K" \, @8 a; G4 d9 v 来自CoinShares的研究主管James Butterfill表示，在美国ZF批准比特币ETF的推动之下，加密货6 _2 F6 g* ^. a; s4 D5 @8 A* l
& g. `0 D+ h2 `* j2 O, w2 B8 P' B
币资产的前景将在2024年发生“重大变化”。“这一期待已久的发展将扩大加密货币资产的投资者基础，9 h6 ]1 S7 h+ g5 Y! v
- T: m6 o: P, j+ z. C$ Q并将其与传统金融市场更紧密地整合在一起，”Butterfill接受媒体采访时表示。
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, K& [7 I- r) T" I) ]“有预测数据显示，从目前资产管理机构管理的资产中增加20%的投资(大约30亿美元)可能会将比特
: D4 ?- H6 m) j! i! d$ y$ I9 H8 F9 G, s, X
币的价格推高至8万美元。”与此同时，Butterfill补充称，全球央行降息的预期也可能在推动比特币价, Q$ ?/ G* S2 r; N0 A8 k
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格走高方面“发挥决定性的作用”。
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在2023年11月，渣打银行(Standard Chartered)发布报告表示，10万美元大关将受到众多ETF获批的大
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1 {9 e! S: K9 A5 C6 c# ?力推动。该行还表示，减半大事件也将支持比特币价格趋势。早在4月份，渣打银行就发布报告预测称，
& L4 x2 ^. {% ?3 R0 x$ @! h' c: o- _/ ?
- a# V. u; A# U' \+ b4 {" s6 b2024年年底比特币有望冲击10万美元。! @6 M* t: f, z- }5 E
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自称为加密金融服务公司的Matrixport在11月发布了一份重磅报告，预计比特币到2024年4月将达到( t. o" R: M3 [7 e+ O1 j. }# r
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63140美元，到2024年年底将达到12.5万美元。3 }. u4 f1 c/ U7 { _8 f
+ ?5 n" M9 a* z4 v
“根据我们的通胀模型，预计宏观环境放松仍将是加密货币的强劲推动力。预计通货膨胀率将再次下- B- n9 r0 _1 K
* `) ?0 W, S8 U% o$ g: K降，这可能促使美联储开始降息周期。”“再加上地缘ZZ‘逆流’，因此这种健康的货币支持政策应该0 }8 U: G' J: U6 C0 C& i
; V( d, x W) J* G) u8 t. w) s会在2024年将比特币推向新高。”Matrixport在报告中表示。5 F# E' V2 y0 M1 T- K$ c6 F
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& Y3 e! e- g$ Z4 C* G. T1 `2 w |
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