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[虚拟币交流]
下周看点：美联储公布会议纪要 关注黄金和比特币走势（转）
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本周，“特朗普交易”再次成为美股市场的基调，主要指数均录得上涨，道指累计上涨约2%，标普500指数和纳指涨约1.7%，罗素2000指数上涨4.5%。
- A. `8 d4 D5 F3 X6 T @市场预计美国当选总统特朗普将在第二任期实行减税政策，并放松监管，这将使美国企业受益，尤其是工业股和小盘股。
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美国10月PCE数据和美联储11月会议纪要将是下周市场关注的焦点，两份报告均将于北京时间下周三公布。核心PCE价格指数是美联储官员偏爱的通胀指标。
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货币市场定价显示，投资者目前预计美联储12月降息的可能性略高于50%，从现在到2025年底，降息幅度总计仅为67个基点。
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8 {8 r6 e/ Y. R2 D8 [! e$ C) d# U汇丰银行经济学家在报告中指出，美联储11月会议纪要可能会显示一些决策者对美国大选结果可能带来的经济影响的讨论。
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特朗普在竞选时多次扬言要对所有进口商品征收10%至20%的关税，这可能会导致美国通胀再次上升，进而使美联储不得不放缓降息步伐。
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2 v$ p3 f* I, g# }5 O. O R欧元区下周五将公布11月CPI初值。市场密切关注这份报告，因为越来越多的人预计，欧洲央行可能不得不加快降息步伐，在12月降息50个基点，以拯救陷入困境的经济。0 B6 h% p) C9 F/ o8 k7 l* a4 j
# ~" r/ f% K9 _6 I/ {. r8 A新西兰联储和韩国央行将于下周公布最新利率决议。3 A, ] c5 x: O2 N% Y, N$ J7 h
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市场预计，新西兰联储届时将降息50个基点，部分人甚至猜测降息幅度可能会达到75个基点。经济学家预计，韩国央行下周将维持利率不变，但会暗示未来可能降息。
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7 F) k. o1 e, \# w) ~' S两项重要资产——黄金和比特币下周的走势值得关注。) I) V8 E$ J U7 w7 @
5 V/ G7 O5 r" u+ F在一度大幅回调后，金价本周恢复增长动能。现货黄金本周累计上涨约6%，重新站上2700美元/盎司上方。这主要受俄乌局势升温的推动。' Q( S8 G* Z6 n9 ?
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与此同时，比特币延续了特朗普胜选以来的强劲势头，本周涨破9.9万美元，逼近10万美元大关。
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' X6 E! @0 f" h! ]财报方面，随着英伟达本周公布业绩，美股Q3财报季进入尾声，下周发布季报的公司中，值得关注的有戴尔科技、惠普和美团。4 [$ Q, a4 b- X( j. Q( @$ {6 p5 a
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有看点的时候也是要多看看呀5 t- u' v+ G, J! n" J! s! o% w
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