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由于挖矿难度降低和挖矿硬件预订量减少,BTC 挖矿哈希率(即网络中的总计算能力)将会减慢。* z. m. F F! P2 R, L/ k
6 N' ~* O. ?: d% }8 w根据 CryptoQuant 的数据,1 月 27 日,挖矿难度降至 108.1 万亿,这是 2025 年的首次降低,而当前的哈希率约为每秒 832 艾哈希 (EH/s)。
$ E6 g, c4 H0 Z, A q. I% ~& W& C6 E& Q& z& v
TheMinerMag 编制的数据还显示,过去七天,挖矿难度回撤了 2.12%。根据其预购数据,美国公司对专用集成电路 (ASIC) 和其他挖矿硬件的需求在 2024 年第三季度和第四季度有所下降。
S7 d( {* n& M. a, h
# u; i q L7 q1 ~难度降低应该会给竞争激烈的行业中的公司带来喘息之机,这些公司在 2024 年和 2025 年初面临着历史最高难度率,同时挖矿的区块补贴也减少了。! K! d o1 B }- e0 D. E$ R: q. a
; M7 i! u& i8 l4 z, Q2 H矿业公司实现业务多元化但仍举步维艰
+ j1 b) n/ e* ~6 S$ ]) }
% f4 f3 F2 |6 j9 G6 t2024 年,矿业公司将业务多元化,进军人工智能和高性能计算数据中心,以弥补减半后矿业利润的缺口。& \( H- j9 }* R: Z- X/ {/ v
( [1 K3 M; G2 G! k" p比特币矿工还采用了比特币企业财务策略,将更多的财务储备分配给 BTC,以获取长期价格升值。
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$ |0 b# H2 F: m u' \! t尽管多元化、对冲策略和 2024 年 11 月历史性的比特币价格反弹,但矿业股仍难以跟上 BTC 的涨势。
6 {+ ~! o% V2 U8 s4 G& j" J7 J# ?9 \7 Q5 n
HashRate Index 的数据显示,25 家上市矿业公司中有 20 家在 2024 年底股价出现年初至今的下跌。, I9 c7 Q3 P" R a
% @0 m, y* X# A* L! E$ DDeepSeek R1 发布后,矿业股再次受到打击,DeepSeek R1 是一种在天朝构建的生成式人工智能模型,其性能与 OpenAI 产品相当,但训练成本仅为其一小部分。/ S1 w3 {- m7 H$ [5 K; h
( N, l& c+ ?1 ?
DeepSeek 颠覆了围绕人工智能开发的传统观念,包括训练和扩展人工智能的成本,据称 DeepSeek 团队使用有限的硬件完成了这项工作。
' s& H- G2 n- n- M; ?9 H( v$ Z3 M2 ^+ ]: S9 U
这款训练成本仅为 600 万美元的天朝 AI 震惊了美国股市,因为一天之内,包括 Nvidia 在内的 AI 公司股东价值就蒸发了超过 1 万亿美元。
2 Q7 ]0 X( s5 I
. W% |1 z9 y/ x0 v投资者抛售 AI 股票,担心 DeepSeek 对价值数十亿美元的数据中心业务和高端 AI 处理器的收入产生影响。
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