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[lastpost] => 2785411 比特币巨鲸出售 500 个比特币，损失 1050 万美元——原因如下（转） 1764432946 jackcool1011
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币交易员发出“超买”警告 比特币价格瞄准8.4万美元（转）
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比特币（BTC）在第一季度的最后一个华尔街交易日中有所走高，但比特币价格观点远未确信空头已经失去控制。0 ~0 N" N1 u: z3 B: k1 y. ?4 Z" j
; l, e- M: W: l! q. A 3月31日华尔街开盘时段，比特币价格小幅走高，尽管交易者对短期走势仍持风险规避态度。+ C3 b3 G, T q0 o l% \7 J' j
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' s& f# A, l! R; w/ p- X 比特币相对强弱指数（RSI）暗示跌势或将延续
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$ U! R+ L% |6 d: @- o; F Cointelegraph Markets Pro与TradingView数据显示，Bitstamp交易所BTC/USD交易对当日上涨1.5%，最高触及8.3914万美元。
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3 p0 c& Z1 P! @! W6 d 尽管美股开盘走低，但在季度收盘前的最后几小时，比特币仍迎来期待已久的反弹。" f1 {2 s: O) ?0 U; M. B$ f. G
5 v0 [9 D2 o/ f* } 市场动能持续受4月2日即将生效的美国新关税政策影响，黄金在创下3128美元/盎司历史新高后亦出现回落。; f5 Z8 g: x, Y% X
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, d% P0 i5 O, h2 s" G- L 针对比特币价格走势，多数市场参与者仍持谨慎态度。/ L- M0 W6 p6 ~/ f5 ?
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知名交易员Roman在最新X平台分析中针对4小时BTC/USD图表指出：“正在重新测试我们关注的关键84，000美元区域”。他在引用相对强弱指数（RSI）时预测，+ c, X, J5 x+ X6 @: C+ j' t) N
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价格或将回落至更接近80，000美元关口的水平。
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2 p/ U* y) W* m) c2 `5 Z “从短期框架（LTF）看，随着下行突破和看跌回测完成，我认为价格将开始走低，”Roman补充道，“同时RSI正在回测50中轴，而随机指标已显示超买。更高时间5 l5 N! `+ l& a5 E6 `2 x
+ ~+ }) Q& M; d框架（HTF）同样呈现看跌倾向。”. L2 v9 l" E' O8 @+ B' v
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知名交易分析师Rekt Capital进一步解读RSI信号，指出比特币在突破数月下降趋势线后，正在日线级别回测支撑位。
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“$BTC的RSI正试图将下降趋势线转化为支撑位，同时价格走势也面临下降趋势压力，”他向X平台粉丝总结道，“若RSI能成功守住趋势线支撑．．．将显示市场正在
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积蓄动能，价格有望突破现行下降通道。”/ Y, j t) B$ [; j2 ?
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# g8 ^3 i/ Y+ ^/ j% |2 e7 I 早前Cointelegraph报道指出，多项比特币价格指标共同勾勒出当前牛市阶段的疲软态势，暗示回调行情或将延续。
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与此同时，各预测平台给出的BTC目标价位已下探至6.5万美元，部分模型甚至显示更低预期。
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比特币价格分析显现与2024年末相似走势
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当前3月及第一季度的整体表现均未达市场预期。8 g1 s* G3 d$ v+ c5 R+ s0 @+ B; \" J
. ~% Y6 @# f8 U6 `" I# f 监测平台CoinGlass数据显示，在缺乏上行催化剂的背景下，截至发稿时BTC/USD年内累计下跌10.8%，3月单月跌幅达1.1%。
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该报告特别强调了比特币与美股日益增强的关联性：“尽管市场动荡，但近几周价格走势已在7.8万至8.8万美元区间形成整理格局。值得注意的是，
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市场恐慌性抛售迹象正在缓解——反应性卖盘减少，而长期持有者已重启积累模式。”
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