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[lastpost] => 2785411 比特币巨鲸出售 500 个比特币，损失 1050 万美元——原因如下（转） 1764432946 jackcool1011
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份
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' A/ S' l& m# X, ]报告中特别强调了这一论断。
% N/ a' ?1 q2 E3 W5 m5 E8 i美元抛售推高比特币# J) Z# g0 p/ u# b3 E7 Z% f
, {# g( a# J0 @5 v6 {* |+ T
Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以. G, F2 |9 X. g9 C9 H
1 y8 C) `3 O' t, y9 R1 Q来的最低水平。( p9 R8 m p! N! B
; }$ _+ i/ T" o/ K& q5 s“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”, e+ w$ H' b- W" U; E% L O( U2 ^5 A
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根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指 i) S: u4 p# z, G- M: Q
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数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。& E) J$ n/ k9 |: o, Y+ ]$ D/ u) C
3 x! y$ C) M5 K9 eAmberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推) M! {+ D& w/ _5 u
$ p$ q: O* {% E. u% h+ M高黄金和比特币的价格。
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/ W, S. S1 Q6 M, F, c下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化+ z7 w D" T* U" a5 s2 C
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这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。/ N# f( q, {( `9 Q% @
+ ]% ?$ g+ ^8 R4 H; |3 O. f这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破6 G d5 S; @# l) Z. o5 C) I, M
/ b" s# _0 a, @2 m了8.7万美元。
1 W9 W* W) I7 Q4 y8 H0 M* @0 A( s- h- T9 V$ T3 T, N
然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，
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“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”) {5 s" \+ Y. }7 {
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/ q9 m9 m; H& K! A# Y9 `- z+ i" Q分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。 @, `1 E+ J; Q/ ]' {$ E1 v5 K8 O
! J- X( d: _2 Y# v! _% j“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”' X; g, K: Y( Z; I
$ [( E& K) }6 g& E% A4 UCryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交 r2 J/ T" n& k9 [/ |$ N9 x
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易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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