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[lastpost] => 2760571 高薪也拴不住人：Meta 超级智慧实验室“翻车”，两月内核心研究员接连出走 1756744800 天策-瑶娥
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[虚拟币交流]
将比特币路的映射到$ 98K - 分析关键障碍，反弹的几率（转）
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BTC鲸鱼流入本周增长了26％，但长期流出仍然超过积累。4 I! [. \% ^; p/ }# `3 B6 \
比特币的价格发散和估值冲突可能会将干净的突破延迟至98,000美元以上。3 _' ]0 g! K( O- S% X; ?
比特币[BTC]正在显示潜在反弹的早期迹象，并由TD顺序购买支持信号在每小时图表上，并更新了技术势头。发稿时，BTC的交易价格为95,952.36美元，在过去24小时内下降了0.33％。
* v, A9 {8 n; Z. Q
& ]+ q0 b- V9 s尽管价格的合并低于$ 96,000，但几个基于链和衍生品的指标表明，如果关键的结构信号一致，则BTC可能正在为决定性举动做准备。
9 i3 G% n/ B, z: C! S" @( o/ q3 i& ~9 @+ K
鲸鱼的积累显示出短期流入，但是…
+ g0 k2 q7 C2 y. {5 k鲸鱼的新鲜积累提供了乐观的第一个火花。在过去一周中，大型持有人的Netflow上升了26.41％，这表明当前水平的短期定罪。 Z3 _4 Y7 X" T7 P+ w
! ^, P9 l% G2 S但是，更广泛的趋势仍然减少了30天和90天的Netfrows，分别下降了-108.09％和-110.13％。
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因此，尽管恢复了最近的恢复，但长期分布仍在对持续的看涨势头构成挑战。/ Z8 M2 c3 v7 y
+ ]3 |8 G5 ^2 g( i6 z
最重要的是玻璃节数据显示链上使用情况的显着增加，过去24小时内记录了925,914个活动地址。
9 a" l7 a6 e0 S$ Z& H
8 Q; c5 g6 M2 N, t! I4 Q2 T, U# k这标志着六个月内网络活动的最高水平，并标志着强大的区块链参与。 9 u7 m9 M3 H. n* V, p
! w( R0 J7 w7 P/ b3 Q6 n# Z然而，热情可能很热。 Santiment Price DAA发散的价格为-225.82％，显示价格超过了有机地址的增长。
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估值指标揭示了BTC市场健康的信号冲突$ K2 P: d& m6 R6 c
几种估值模型提出了混合的前景。: e1 M2 x* {; W. b7 y
2 Q8 p# l+ v& }8 x p! l `, ^PUELL多个坐在1.36处，表明矿工收入在健康范围内。. _8 Q# q3 A1 N$ C* m. O( Y
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同时，NVT和NVM比分别增加了50％和26％，这表明市值超过了交易和用户活动。
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- ]* t) d; Y4 C0 {相反，股票与流量的比率下降了50％，表明对长期稀缺定价的信心降低。这些相互矛盾的指标表明，尽管基本面并不弱，但市场仍然处于估值灰色区域。
9 f7 O: c6 i5 ?
; U) w4 U6 `- c5 \ O9 }此外，Binance清算热图显示，密集包装的流动性集群接近94,000美元和98,000美元。这些水平代表了高杠杆定位的区域，价格波动通常会加剧。 , T) Z$ z2 o2 f+ S! L
7 o. y6 |8 d5 O. g% F6 R) J. G如果BTC超过$ 98,000，它可能会触发一系列级联的级别清算，以增强动力。但是，低于$ 94K的下跌可能会清算长期头寸并提高价格。
+ g& w& r+ E2 Y% [
2 m4 n! g0 a# { v8 A结果，交易者应密切关注这些水平，因为他们可能决定BTC的下一个定向行动。
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BTC可以再次超过$ 98K还是再次失速？
, U8 s7 e" Y/ r6 f比特币随着网络活动的上升和新鲜的鲸鱼流入而闪烁的恢复迹象。 4 W5 A" R: x; \$ M
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但是，长期的卖出压力，负价分支的差异和估值张力表明，突破超过$ 98K的途径仍然不确定。
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