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[虚拟币交流]
将比特币路的映射到$ 98K - 分析关键障碍，反弹的几率（转）
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BTC鲸鱼流入本周增长了26％，但长期流出仍然超过积累。* J" n) V& l0 Z' a! u& v
比特币的价格发散和估值冲突可能会将干净的突破延迟至98,000美元以上。+ |4 |; `% K) }' x" u1 D( o) x
比特币[BTC]正在显示潜在反弹的早期迹象，并由TD顺序购买支持信号在每小时图表上，并更新了技术势头。发稿时，BTC的交易价格为95,952.36美元，在过去24小时内下降了0.33％。, P/ B5 f% ~7 d
; C+ S5 P; ^7 r- |尽管价格的合并低于$ 96,000，但几个基于链和衍生品的指标表明，如果关键的结构信号一致，则BTC可能正在为决定性举动做准备。
/ Q: F/ C8 ~- p% o0 s
8 O0 w- t. p* e9 b% r' l鲸鱼的积累显示出短期流入，但是…1 n' N7 h3 N' X" ]
鲸鱼的新鲜积累提供了乐观的第一个火花。在过去一周中，大型持有人的Netflow上升了26.41％，这表明当前水平的短期定罪。% J* v; |! Q4 K( H
4 C7 j0 f+ B( }' D0 p/ z8 F但是，更广泛的趋势仍然减少了30天和90天的Netfrows，分别下降了-108.09％和-110.13％。
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9 N5 U, a9 Q2 @- E$ y# B+ _因此，尽管恢复了最近的恢复，但长期分布仍在对持续的看涨势头构成挑战。% l. k/ D3 B( V* a6 L
: ~% N# L$ q# z! m最重要的是玻璃节数据显示链上使用情况的显着增加，过去24小时内记录了925,914个活动地址。6 i+ i3 v# u/ \$ h4 j: a
* `) _6 z4 f/ Y h/ @5 B( N这标志着六个月内网络活动的最高水平，并标志着强大的区块链参与。 5 D0 L$ F U8 N
0 H. @# u+ U6 c* d9 G3 }
然而，热情可能很热。 Santiment Price DAA发散的价格为-225.82％，显示价格超过了有机地址的增长。1 X0 V: y% k Y6 q0 D) P2 s; t
& f$ O# g% d7 h5 g9 L4 R4 `1 G估值指标揭示了BTC市场健康的信号冲突
+ T/ h: k7 M; S几种估值模型提出了混合的前景。
! ^1 w' \ W7 ]; T1 P6 z
7 V9 d! B% @, n+ H u# n& FPUELL多个坐在1.36处，表明矿工收入在健康范围内。
+ a* l$ ^1 o* X" q( D* I8 {# L
0 i3 i0 E8 l( \6 z- {5 K同时，NVT和NVM比分别增加了50％和26％，这表明市值超过了交易和用户活动。 ' o" `( j- x/ {, m9 r( N7 J/ D
' }- Q" r2 z7 e/ X6 `! R! @相反，股票与流量的比率下降了50％，表明对长期稀缺定价的信心降低。这些相互矛盾的指标表明，尽管基本面并不弱，但市场仍然处于估值灰色区域。- I8 C9 M. N6 H6 B, p, L4 z
2 ^2 T* N" T2 b3 J此外，Binance清算热图显示，密集包装的流动性集群接近94,000美元和98,000美元。这些水平代表了高杠杆定位的区域，价格波动通常会加剧。 $ G: i1 U1 i+ a. j4 o7 ?
8 y1 H8 Z ?" d4 K0 }3 E( ~5 i
如果BTC超过$ 98,000，它可能会触发一系列级联的级别清算，以增强动力。但是，低于$ 94K的下跌可能会清算长期头寸并提高价格。
; V$ [' ~5 [/ \: Y/ O1 |1 D ~ x0 B! O% c8 v
结果，交易者应密切关注这些水平，因为他们可能决定BTC的下一个定向行动。
& n8 o6 r$ V! L, r9 N
' T1 |# S! |0 }$ H5 g+ N" Y% [BTC可以再次超过$ 98K还是再次失速？
; a/ X' i$ |4 k; F/ r比特币随着网络活动的上升和新鲜的鲸鱼流入而闪烁的恢复迹象。 0 H; e3 w9 ^" e7 {, D1 J
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但是，长期的卖出压力，负价分支的差异和估值张力表明，突破超过$ 98K的途径仍然不确定。
* ^% ]4 L3 v5 K: h2 j: s; e5 M; K2 Y+ y, m) {
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