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[lastpost] => 2750433 比特币交易员注意！——为什么这个指标预示BTC可能下跌20%（转） 1752902597 22301
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; G5 ?' \$ m4 Y( D9 Q; I2 ^' T0 ~3 h- t% S8 l; X$ m% }
7月1日晚，复旦大学经济学院举办“稳定币与国际金融大变局”线上研讨会。会上，复旦大学国际金融研究中心主任杨长江认为，$ o, [" u7 M8 v. d0 d- o: W7 ~
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稳定币近年来迅速“出圈”，既受到美国总统特朗普的政策偏好等偶然因素影响，也体现了全球化与金融化在数字经济时代共振耦合的# t" U- Y7 z$ {' f5 K
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必然趋势。杨长江指出，美国高度重视稳定币，其背后是出于维持美元霸权的考量。
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3 n$ b* s/ `# j8 M/ l# B+ A8 H 他认为，稳定币是代币化时代货币形态演进的阶段性成果，虽存在诸多问题，但其货币属性已初具雏形。它实现了三大平衡：一
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是公权与私权的结合，以法定货币为锚、由市场机构发行；二是中心化与去中心化的融合，在链上形成去中心化交易基础的同时保留
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发行方控制力；三是链上与链下的协同，既服务于数字世界，也在现实世界的跨境支付、金融包容等方面展现出广泛应用。
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7 n. c% O7 @$ K4 ^$ T 杨长江表示，尽管国际清算银行在其最新报告中对稳定币提出严厉批评，认为其在货币基本功能方面不合格，但我们应以更开放、
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0 d1 E" Q2 j' [2 E- s% f# _包容的态度看待这一新兴事物。他强调，随着商业银行逐步参与稳定币发行，未来将出现科技公司与金融机构之间的竞争与合作格局，4 S1 f: s; U6 J. y" C) h
2 ^" u& o* \( m" o4 i- v+ f也将进一步推动数字金融生态的发展。3 L% {5 ?$ e% m3 _* c
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关于稳定币背后的全球化演进问题，杨长江说道，“美国这么热心做这件事情，有它的考虑。过去美元以黄金、石油为支撑，未来则
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( S4 R, u5 j; N c可能是数字资产。如果美国控制住了数字世界，那么美元霸权未来就更有希望延续。”
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他还提出，美国推行稳定币的背后不仅是为美国国债创造了操作性需求，更是一个战略性想法——企图构建链上以美元为基准的下
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: b3 ` z" |* v7 x一个代币化的全球金融体系。, N6 J2 [* s K3 k7 j& ^
3 ~( \1 o' h9 |: K3 S/ k: \( h 在谈及人民币国际化时，杨长江建议天朝采取“双轨并行”战略：一方面加快央行数字货币建设，另一方面积极探索人民币锚定型稳定
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- E5 E" @3 w5 W9 n币的发展路径，尤其应在香港、上海等地创造应用场景，主动适应数字金融趋势。他表示，天朝应把握数字金融发展机遇，在监管与创新
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; ~ Y- T; [- F之间找到平衡点，为人民币国际化开辟新空间。7 i& U* ?# a3 N% ^
0 N" R p1 V9 E6 Z7 P 人民币国际化，应该是两条腿走路。传统的贸易、投资项下推广人民币使用，以及试点央行数字人民币等，这是一条腿。另外一条腿就
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1 Q9 ]0 V" _1 P是推行人民币稳定币，规范和推广实际上已经存在的人民币稳定币贸易结算。我们需要双管齐下，来找到最合适的途径。4 W$ U; e9 E; m6 T S" I
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