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[lastpost] => 2751814 特斯拉在最糟糕的时机抛售了75%的比特币，错失数十亿美元收益（转） 1753396513 九嶷风
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BCA Research表示，投资者开始对美国的“避险资产”地位产生怀疑，而这可能对比特币构成利好。
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该研究机构在最新给投资者的报告中指出，目前其整体投资组合保持防御性配置——减持股票、增持固定收益资产，并在股票投资中降低对美国
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2 f( F, W! d- S; J4 @; u1 N# E市场的权重。原因在于，海外投资者正集体“回避”美国资产，担忧美国政策已从“贸易战”转向“资本战”。
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与此同时，BCA也首次将比特币纳入其研究覆盖范围，并将比特币的评级从“减持”上调至“中性”。今年2月，BCA曾出于市场情绪过于乐观的判断而; Y, \4 w( B! ~
$ j* v5 Z$ v+ Y$ e' V5 N“短期看空”比特币。1 k/ u+ K" x- @# R' m! C
* u2 `. U$ e2 d( w8 g “在全球资金撤离美国资产的背景下，比特币有望成为受益者。”报告写道，“市场情绪已经从高点大幅回落。今年以来，活跃交易的比特币在整体已
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实现市值中的占比急剧下降。”$ V) c$ J# z1 S+ e' n* R4 y
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报告还指出，比特币作为“数字黄金”，正越来越像实物黄金那样表现，在美国资产大规模抛售期间依旧保持坚挺。4 O4 A$ r" s7 s* ?' M" \
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8 j2 H0 B" U4 t8 }1 i) P) l 根据Coin Metrics的数据，自4月3日——即特朗普总统宣布初始关税政策的第二天起——比特币已上涨约12%。同期，现货黄金上涨了8%，
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% h, U' l X% P9 @+ [而纳斯达克综合指数几乎持平。9 R% q3 Q; F. Z; `
& B) a, e) \$ n6 D! @4 k* K9 M BCA在报告中进一步指出：“虽然美国经济增长目前仍表现坚挺，但关税政策的模糊性，已导致企业资本支出意愿大幅下滑。”此外，“激烈的$ v! E0 d8 R* m- ^( F5 b1 _3 U
0 J4 T3 ]) e$ p2 P7 D( Y利率波动也再度打击了住宅房地产市场。”
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2 d- z8 v6 r$ i- a1 }! y “尽管特朗普ZF在某些强硬言论上有所收敛，但企业仍迫切需要明确的政策信号，才能恢复投资。”报告写道，“若无法及时提供清晰政策，9 i* i2 v$ o! ?. ~$ b: ~0 X
' M. e9 w/ C9 V将可能引发更为严重的经济衰退。”* _. P' \( R; p& B; G
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