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BCA Research表示，投资者开始对美国的“避险资产”地位产生怀疑，而这可能对比特币构成利好。
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& \) C) \, s* V3 E 该研究机构在最新给投资者的报告中指出，目前其整体投资组合保持防御性配置——减持股票、增持固定收益资产，并在股票投资中降低对美国0 M0 ~, l7 t+ ^1 {& z( w9 c) w9 l- A
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市场的权重。原因在于，海外投资者正集体“回避”美国资产，担忧美国政策已从“贸易战”转向“资本战”。! Y9 [% l B& i) W! J. A
' [% c0 W) k! Z7 U& _ 与此同时，BCA也首次将比特币纳入其研究覆盖范围，并将比特币的评级从“减持”上调至“中性”。今年2月，BCA曾出于市场情绪过于乐观的判断而8 d7 D( H) B* Y4 O
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“短期看空”比特币。
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7 t( `; t5 N/ b: T “在全球资金撤离美国资产的背景下，比特币有望成为受益者。”报告写道，“市场情绪已经从高点大幅回落。今年以来，活跃交易的比特币在整体已& B# J9 O0 E4 w1 M' _5 L
* ~2 g) M& t6 z$ y实现市值中的占比急剧下降。”
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( ?8 \- j. n' Y 报告还指出，比特币作为“数字黄金”，正越来越像实物黄金那样表现，在美国资产大规模抛售期间依旧保持坚挺。
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根据Coin Metrics的数据，自4月3日——即特朗普总统宣布初始关税政策的第二天起——比特币已上涨约12%。同期，现货黄金上涨了8%，
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而纳斯达克综合指数几乎持平。
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9 ^8 ^# g4 I: \& M# B6 e. Q BCA在报告中进一步指出：“虽然美国经济增长目前仍表现坚挺，但关税政策的模糊性，已导致企业资本支出意愿大幅下滑。”此外，“激烈的
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" u+ E7 _# f: u' s/ H8 j4 _1 ^' E利率波动也再度打击了住宅房地产市场。”! o$ q$ d# @1 V8 w1 U: O
: D- Y( |, N' e- F) x “尽管特朗普ZF在某些强硬言论上有所收敛，但企业仍迫切需要明确的政策信号，才能恢复投资。”报告写道，“若无法及时提供清晰政策，
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将可能引发更为严重的经济衰退。”* {- b4 k, c5 w0 Y# G9 T$ X5 C. L! l
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