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[lastpost] => 2770903 波场 TRON 正在成为全球金融与数据基础（转） 1759467152 jackcool1011
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比特币减半、比特币ETF获批、美联储降息这三件事被越来越多人) _/ q c' ]' k M8 j& j5 g) _
# [' L3 J6 X; p$ k; Z; C4 ?6 o9 W认为推动加密牛市的发动机。毫无疑问，比特币正在进入宏观金融世界，* u/ E h" H- J2 a* v
- @/ C0 M4 g. @( I: B而传统金融大门向比特币彻底打开，迎接比特币的则是继承上一代财富
! |# K( i2 A7 ]2 E" ~; p0 v7 o+ C! G7 a8 U2 e
的千禧一代。9 x+ Y% s/ ^' `9 z
从比特币减半周期维度看，目前比特币确实已经进入新阶段。根据PlanB
& ?* R0 {1 H9 t3 z/ i
* n% R& O$ E) Y# r9 S8 Z的S2F模型看，目前，比特币已经进入”减半前 6 个月 – 减半后 18 个月“
$ [. B% b/ R; [8 x; K
d/ {: f% i ~" l( N 时期，在这个阶段，买入并持有的收益很好。除了比特币减半临近，加
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密资产监管合规之路出现重要转折点，比特币ETF推出似也呼之欲出。据
5 U* y4 J. m& W$ W. Z* M: H* u5 J( V7 d- J
《比推》报道，2023年8月，法庭文件显示，华盛顿一个由三名法官组成! a* v4 Z% \+ J
& E8 F9 A5 c& t4 w0 k: v7 g3 U8 a的上诉小组推翻了美国证交会（SEC）阻止灰度 ETF 的决定。据《比推》 j9 |. \* f# c* H5 \) t- u
2 ^: D. V* h) ^; p& g/ ]' _
报道，在Ripple案中，10 月 3 日，法官Torres 驳回了 SEC的上诉请求；4 ? Q/ x! [4 _+ ~& ~# [+ {
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10月19日，灰度在X平台发文表示已提交了S-3表格，作为将GBTC转换为
" I0 J7 B( Y# l4 w1 C/ h
3 `$ t8 \" W3 Q' W' W. O2 uETF的努力的一部分。” 从近期美联储谈话看，美联储降息也基本确定。
5 K7 d( u0 ]& M7 M% h# h; u* `
; U1 l6 C% _8 n据《比推》报道，美联储主席鲍威尔近日在新闻发布会上明确表达：降
* ~! c `6 `, }. d) _' j% t* F2 U [) H& Z! W- C Q5 \
息已经进入决策视野，决策者正在思考、讨论合适降息合适。4 k) X" s |+ J2 p% u. W% V
* ]' p: Q$ _ c6 U# f* \! M" v# _与巨大利好预期相对应的则是，千禧一代一边继承财富，一边拥抱加密
9 n" O; w' B9 m- i; i9 I* `: m, {9 O( ~ T
世界。据Galaxy研报显示：千禧一代即将迎来有史以来最大规模的财富" |" E5 C3 a; S! b5 J2 x0 O
- T0 [9 U8 Y% n- y, j传承。尽管婴儿潮一代和更年长的一代只占美国成年人口的三分之一不+ ^! g: ^2 _! f2 Q( F) K
0 ~! e u: a6 h
到，但却共同拥有美国家庭财富的三分之二（96 万亿美元），是千禧一
9 e" @' }2 U* k- \; ^/ g/ y; [% ?4 L! i
代及更年轻一代财富的 11 倍以上。受到多次经济衰退、高昂的住房成
1 I' W& a7 p; W7 ^. U8 g# J( H& H& o' Q( V5 J/ P% F$ Q
本和沉重的债务负担的影响，这些年轻一代更愿意接受替代性的金融体( G6 N. v' e5 z1 H8 L' S
3 `$ K7 W+ @& O8 a( p3 @
系和投资，包括加密货币。许多调查显示，这一代相较父辈，对加密货
: D j) V7 F, M/ Z1 r a9 K* j4 y5 C: k6 G+ G/ F
币的采用或接受率至少高出 3 倍。估算表明，财富转移的影响可能导致, q2 S; U/ F2 S7 {4 w0 `
! P, U! d( [9 E% O未来 20 年内加密市场每天增加 2000 万至 2800 万美元的购买力。财富9 ^; X+ V; z- p" u
: \& a; `/ v5 c+ Z1 c t/权力向年轻一代的人口结构转变是不可避免的，这对加密货币是个好兆头。
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