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[lastpost] => 2813295 英伟达发布开源代理计划后，AI代币价格上涨，CoinDesk 20 指数超出预期。（转） 1773233684 爱美的女人
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比特币减半、比特币ETF获批、美联储降息这三件事被越来越多人
* K% f: f' m; c8 x" f. s) S( d& l* @ Y" \6 A" ]. K
认为推动加密牛市的发动机。毫无疑问，比特币正在进入宏观金融世界，0 ^8 ^& C. G# u8 |, Z$ Z
5 H6 a' G7 h7 F s$ `而传统金融大门向比特币彻底打开，迎接比特币的则是继承上一代财富
# C! E; u' h4 m% O) D. Q6 q# U' J: `" Y( {
的千禧一代。5 Q9 k; E$ Z/ N5 W& A8 Y% [- l
从比特币减半周期维度看，目前比特币确实已经进入新阶段。根据PlanB
# P" p7 ]2 F$ L6 N* D0 K0 T5 u1 M
的S2F模型看，目前，比特币已经进入”减半前 6 个月 – 减半后 18 个月“
0 p8 F' F. N S
0 Z; K7 Y8 T, _7 Z 时期，在这个阶段，买入并持有的收益很好。除了比特币减半临近，加
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# \, }& i" a% @" p& y% p密资产监管合规之路出现重要转折点，比特币ETF推出似也呼之欲出。据
2 t" u2 ] \; ^" H2 z/ o9 H
3 p$ l* [' x* V2 `《比推》报道，2023年8月，法庭文件显示，华盛顿一个由三名法官组成
: e9 }6 `1 u2 ? K3 a: e4 W" ]3 B
1 F* N3 T$ ?5 @: z: f1 w; W: E3 E的上诉小组推翻了美国证交会（SEC）阻止灰度 ETF 的决定。据《比推》# P- w) x7 Q4 }( |
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报道，在Ripple案中，10 月 3 日，法官Torres 驳回了 SEC的上诉请求；
1 N$ w; S: t9 |
- l) |- s. a- |* p1 k10月19日，灰度在X平台发文表示已提交了S-3表格，作为将GBTC转换为
P$ g/ e. L; H9 b: f- t o8 z$ d0 X8 V! x8 S9 V
ETF的努力的一部分。” 从近期美联储谈话看，美联储降息也基本确定。9 f- M+ y0 c" }- k n/ B
+ A. h6 [* f0 |4 I1 r
据《比推》报道，美联储主席鲍威尔近日在新闻发布会上明确表达：降
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息已经进入决策视野，决策者正在思考、讨论合适降息合适。/ z" v: r% Y% @/ D$ H* w3 n7 [! ^0 v
) m( B! n1 V. q; S与巨大利好预期相对应的则是，千禧一代一边继承财富，一边拥抱加密
# W% |7 R& z7 x) T9 X3 C+ C: f+ l- @2 p/ v0 k4 `4 m. E
世界。据Galaxy研报显示：千禧一代即将迎来有史以来最大规模的财富0 i* L H7 Q& i: i- @
0 Z6 k( v$ e' S2 y2 o传承。尽管婴儿潮一代和更年长的一代只占美国成年人口的三分之一不
1 q/ E6 E7 F ^7 M+ w6 C5 [. s" |; x& t! _7 Y/ t. @
到，但却共同拥有美国家庭财富的三分之二（96 万亿美元），是千禧一
$ V8 ^3 F+ x# ]
' y8 {* N1 a) Q4 O' [' A& H8 U代及更年轻一代财富的 11 倍以上。受到多次经济衰退、高昂的住房成9 `0 a$ B! k1 u4 k- ?
7 L+ ~/ m G% v$ f' Z: n5 p: u1 m
本和沉重的债务负担的影响，这些年轻一代更愿意接受替代性的金融体
" E- x( I2 ?! H3 @) u6 P0 ^% Q2 x6 W( ^
系和投资，包括加密货币。许多调查显示，这一代相较父辈，对加密货
" t& W, q! H: T0 P9 J& n- O: x! b" X# I3 B0 [
币的采用或接受率至少高出 3 倍。估算表明，财富转移的影响可能导致
4 D# g9 H# z( A$ W/ T
[' W) J/ d, `/ k3 Y未来 20 年内加密市场每天增加 2000 万至 2800 万美元的购买力。财富9 q# j2 Q1 b, n
4 h' G# V7 b9 f& M4 c2 f/权力向年轻一代的人口结构转变是不可避免的，这对加密货币是个好兆头。* _+ ]9 v1 [6 h+ n
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