×
Array
(
[fid] => 6728
[description] => 理论知识,玩法技巧,专业术语解释,迈向体育菠菜高手的摇篮!
[password] =>
[icon] => 7c/common_6728_icon.png
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[digest] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 0
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 1
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 0
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 3
[fid] => 6728
[rulename] => 加精华
[action] => digest
[fids] => 6966,6903,6944,6958,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,555,6783,6799,6845,6895,6817,1111,6873,6870,6821,6951,6879,6876,6948,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728
)
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 5
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 0
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6728
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6866,6969,6891,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6824,6815,6937,6943,6970,6869,1121,6934,6903,6974,6944,6958,6929,6874,6894,6765,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6900,6902,555,6783,6799,6845,6895,6817,1111,6873,6870,6821,6951,6879,6876,6948,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 0
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6728
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6866,6969,6891,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6824,6815,6937,6943,6970,6869,1121,6934,6903,6974,6944,6958,6929,6874,6894,6765,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6900,6902,555,6783,6799,6845,6895,6817,1111,6873,6870,6821,6951,6879,6876,6948,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] =>
[rules] => 1)发布主题帖+1经验+1活跃币,回贴+10华小分
2)Lv.1及其以上级别会员可以发布主题帖,Lv.1及其以上会员可以回帖
4)转帖请在主题上标明
5)禁止发布与本版块无关的主题(违反,帖子转移到相关版块,并扣50经验)
6)禁止回复与主题无关的帖子(违反,帖子删除,并扣10经验)
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[required] => 1
[listable] => 1
[prefix] => 1
[types] => Array
(
[137] => 体育菠菜玩法规则
[138] => 体育菠菜心得方法
[139] => 体育菠菜问题咨询
)
[icons] => Array
(
[137] =>
[138] =>
[139] =>
)
[moderators] => Array
(
[137] =>
[138] =>
[139] =>
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] => 9 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 81 83 84 87 89 90 91 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8 92
[postperm] => 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92
[replyperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 73 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92
[getattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 73 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92
[postattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 73 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92
[postimageperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 73 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] =>
[keywords] => 足球,篮球,体育,规则,打法
[seodescription] => 理论知识,玩法技巧,专业术语解释,迈向体育菠菜高手的摇篮!<br /><a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/thread-51289-1-1.html" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜新人必看】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=33" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜规则】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=34" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜心得】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=100" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜问题咨询】</font></a>
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[sort] => 0
[orderby] => 2
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 5
[imagewidth] => 200
[imageheight] => 150
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 900
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:0:"";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"60";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6831
[type] => forum
[name] => 体育知识讲座
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 5
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 2735
[posts] => 23139
[todayposts] => 0
[yesterdayposts] => 0
[rank] => 114
[oldrank] => 113
[lastpost] => 125127 升降盘理论 1741350473 france89
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 0
[allowpostspecial] => 1
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 0
[allowfeed] => 0
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 2
[jammer] => 1
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 0
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 0
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 16
[modworks] => 1
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 0
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 1656 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
此帖转贴,作者wloo (凉咖啡)
4 Y- P$ D/ L2 m% j4 w: g7 gDubo不是好东西,盲目的赌真的会让你倾家荡产。但是如果你真能掌握其中某些实' j, j) w* Q( u8 a$ l
质,结果也许真的会大不一样。5 Y3 E1 U) j9 m+ _" H: B) ]3 i
一个玩21点的,在掌握了提高3%的赢牌机率技术后,他一个晚上就能赢走90万多2 O0 y I7 j: T6 ]: B6 P5 Y* E2 y0 p
美元
" C3 s4 T* K V他凭自己的技术,要养家糊口是不成问题的。要说华尔街那些人能在某种程度上掌. u Z' A' o* X$ j# b, H
控国家经济,也是事实。他们所做的某些工作跟赌有紧密联系的。所以说,小赌可0 M" n4 p' `7 A! g8 a
以养家糊口,大赌可以救国救民,也不能算是痴人梦话。
; I2 c" _" _) u& Z" p) \# ~: i, NDubo有多种,这里只说赌彩,就是玩彩票。 有人说,彩票是愚者的Dubo,智者的游+ v1 P6 w' V2 r- B+ [! z) F
戏,我赞承这种说法。
) \7 N) a; e2 J: q4 `4 z现在还没听说过什么人能用玩彩来养家糊口、救国救民,如果真能玩到这种境界,) t: p6 m* s6 H+ p
也算世界状元了!但如果你非赌不可,就必须首先具备成熟的心理素质。
' M, O& a/ U9 I ~% r首先应该面对的是关于彩票公证性的挑战。
% j/ w1 d- R* Q; q2 f: N玩彩前,每个人都要先问一个问题:彩票公司公正吗?出号真的是随机的吗?
+ g0 {5 x+ I6 Z! `疑问1:现在世界上主要国家(包括加拿大,不包括天朝)的彩票公司都在用一种! _0 {. G) x/ D2 N
G-tech技术保护,不敢对G-tech多说什么,只是在下面列出很多彩票玩家经常提出
) T! g( V( y9 r e: N7 s的一些与G-teck 有关的问题:
" `* G: |( E2 v6 }! X* Why one organization called “G-TECH” behind the world lotteries?
5 K! l! ?6 T3 `! e5 r* HIs it because those world governments cannot afford to buy the* o2 z) T, F1 p/ T8 o, t
equipment outright unless G-TECH supplies it to them?
" Q( q" h) V9 Y- u# E. g* Why G-TECH collect percentage of the profit from the local operators?
6 t# ^ x' ~* D8 m: M* What more is in to lotteries apart from Machines and Balls?
! ^/ @( X$ J. nCould it be software involved?2 c, \. L B5 o" _
* Why world data such as UK, France, Germany, Spain and even USA have the! }+ @! x6 {" x0 @$ {1 G. m
same resemblance but never and ever match entirely?
% _/ x1 T; V0 h7 R4 H( v* Why satellite terminals are involved if the draws are taking place locally,( d6 R. { o) Q8 W' x- M
is it because to transfer data back to G-TECH for calculations?! E' a0 Z# n# S3 U- g
* Why there is a minimum of half hour interval from the shut down of terminals
0 y4 O9 Z3 U& X, J8 K1 Y! e$ \to the time draw takes place, what the organizers do during this time?
, \. y+ _) P$ w+ a! P* How can the local organization running the lottery like Camelot in UK can take
% e; B: R+ I' Otheir share of sales (%50 I believe) before the draw takes place especially$ D- X$ Q2 `) M, a3 m
where there is a minimum prize of £10 guaranteed? ? How do they know how$ d3 \7 p5 x) D, i& ]
many $10 winners there are to calculate their sums when there is a possibility# U1 H5 F7 x! W0 X" m
of the number of £10 winners exceed from the total sales?2 J& e. Z4 g& Y6 g0 \! p
** 注:据说G-tect理论需要30分钟去完成某些“优化”计算& q$ p% T4 O& r: w3 O* F
** 注:理论上讲,过去的中奖号码最多在4500期后就会出现首次重复。
0 ~& W/ r' }) Z7 P疑问2:曾有人在某彩票玩家网站上贴出下面文字,后来经有心人查证,其作者IP
2 p8 K7 j, W; ^$ d; G似乎是控制加拿大649、Super7的彩票公司,就是说是彩票公司内部的人发出的...
7 t5 J. g# N) |* ?+ l' bWinning numbers how there are selected; d$ E# v1 |! ]7 H9 ?
This is the way we select the winning numbers: W6 K, R" b! B; T+ n+ B
Select "XXX' Numbers_set from Played_numbers% r8 e9 q! v0 e, w
where Province_of_played='XXX' and city_of_played='XXX" and time_of_played='XXX'
( \0 g3 D1 R @8 @7 E9 Uand Method_of_Played='XXXX'
! D z# u7 I( @9 {0 }/ OOn each ticket we record the place, the time and the way the numbers have been selected.
9 X$ v! L7 ?$ Z8 k2 n- b4 aWe run this query against all played sets.0 x7 p7 `+ v2 m9 u W* B. I) C
We then feed the drawing machine with the results, the outcome will always be what we want.- ^; `. w( [8 \. U
For example if we want to have a single winner from Ontario, who played quick pick we run
9 }. a& H# Y# c7 y3 Kthe following query:* c: q ^; N, ~
Select unique numbers_set from played_numbers1 x4 a9 ?+ \; G% G; B0 a4 Q6 ]
where province_of_played='Ontario' and method_of_played='quick pick';
; r4 d! J8 {) {6 @$ C- I6 E/ OIt just takes less than 5 minutes to get the results.9 W) P$ }3 e) L3 P) J3 a
We prefer players wo play quick pick because our machine predict the numbers.$ i" ]! C: B( e/ s3 L5 x
If we do not want a winner we run the following query:
' ~ z0 N& h7 xSelect unique numbers_set from all_numbers_set where numbers_set not in played_numbers;$ P3 U: [2 y" K3 Q; |6 \$ L
上述英文是原文,没经过任何改动。) N! c l6 j) S" \
虽然此帖没明说是用在何种彩票上,但后来因为其作者IP的曝光(彩票公司内部人),( x& \3 ?7 W+ \ N
很让人怀疑加拿大649、Super7的公正性。如果这是真的,很恐怖。7 t' S4 R' o6 o$ e" q0 I# p
疑问3:为什么现在加拿大彩票公司不实况转播摇奖过程,为什么加拿大彩票公司6 w/ v& r9 c! A
在停止售票1个半小时后才开始摇奖,而且每次摇奖只有几个人参与(一两个摇奖9 K8 S, K9 M8 Z3 U
人员加三两个摄录的技术人员)?
6 Q2 ]: q; a1 Z% B2 K0 h8 a( x为什么摇奖过程没有法律公证人员参与、证实?为什么所有玩家购买号不能在摇奖
8 b# E) o, h$ Y) M, K" P- ^前刻在一张非重写的光盘上(体现公正性方法之一)?等等,很多问题。
! n" z* w9 C! W+ n; E" w疑问4:为什么大多数情况下,“中奖者”信息不公开?(有人指出有很多未曝光的重
! E" j3 q7 F6 [' F1 ]复中彩者)
+ L- P9 Y7 }, D2 z7 D: W为什么几年前安省649出号与同期加拿大649出号极其相像,远远超过其理论上的
% b. z0 f0 p4 p, ~& C可能性?9 W5 i* W( [+ f+ z
疑问5:为什么彩票公司很多公开年薪超过10万的工作人员,几乎所有人公开的Taxable
/ n* u+ ?/ l3 q% d) F& |$ [' @6 GBenefits只有不到200元?不用上税的Benefits有多少?, Y& }1 b% q; E: }/ }4 b' M/ E/ B
下面附件里包括部分2003年OLGC年薪超过10万的Name、Position、Salary、
& y2 O: g: G: y# ETaxable Benefits。其实还有很多的疑问,但以上的疑问足以使一个成熟的人望而# k% e9 [ \$ ?2 Y+ ~# T/ H
止步。我个人的感觉,相比之下真正公正的彩票是天朝的彩票。如果你有成熟的心, Z8 y! K6 G" u, n# G6 L
理素质包容以上疑问,并且还坚持非赌不可,那么你还需要了解一些有关彩票的最
5 X8 ]1 b. s3 q. j4 q @基本的知识。
5 u0 `0 ~+ e4 ^- ]. p应该承认,通过适当的分析,是可以大幅度提高中奖机率的。虽然那个玩21点的, { `2 q3 L0 N( ~5 E
在掌握了提高3%的赢牌机率技术后,一个晚上就能赢走90万多美元,但是对彩票' ~. ?7 _& e- Z8 N
而言,却完全不是这样。其实对彩票研究而言,提高3%的中奖机率并不困难。比
* K# _1 {- n) c如几周前,某人给出20个数字,说明是其后10次加拿大649最佳候选号。结果中5
& L H$ g4 T: i7 V- H# t, h个(或以上)中奖号至少3次以上。) p* i5 F7 z! h# p- d
理论上,49选20中5的几率是3.2153%,此人的结果提高30%以上的中奖机率。可
1 k9 a2 H0 b. X5 i& u( n$ ]9 t结果是他自己最多中了10块钱。原因很简单,彩票可能性的数据量太大,除了专业
! g' W0 o0 _/ }% m玩彩的,没有人会每期投入几十万。9 q, j! y5 S5 x; Y+ |% y
20选6有38760种可能,20选5加另外29选1有449616种可能,每期花$976752,* \- H* \$ l }$ a
似乎专业玩彩的也不敢这样投。结论是即使你提高了30%的中奖机率,尤其是没有6 i1 A9 O! |/ B* g8 J3 R2 C* n, S
人敢100%保证它的号能每次都达到30%的中5个机率,如果每次买全可能号码,最6 {% k4 ^3 p- E+ @
后你还有70%的机率是赔。
+ @1 p: L$ f' i即使用旋转矩阵选号,20中5保3也要20个以上,仍然赔。如果不自己选号,去quick: s: x6 m, w; I
pick,就是机选,那你几乎是没有什么机会的,即使是10块钱,你也会很难得到。
- `# A: D* T& @7 [8 P且不说上面提到的G-tech保护,首先,理论上的中奖机率就少得很。理论上的机率1 S, k& Y' x- K$ ~. Z* U0 \( U
也不保证100%中奖机率。
; d# l6 U$ R2 o! s% N举个具体的649的例子,中3的机率大概是1.765%(或1/57),但你买57张彩票,
p4 v1 ^8 y3 j: P; N却不能100%的保证中3。如要100%的保证中3,现在的世界纪录是163,就是最少6 a0 a. G) i% p+ q
买163张彩票(当然按特定组合了),才能100%的保证你中3个。如果你老能设计. u% M+ I+ |, c) D; ]5 t4 A
一种组合,用低于163的数额就能保证中3,可以去参加Lottery Wheeling( Q+ y1 w* T0 y6 z! U8 G. y; C2 s
Challenge,也弄个青史留名。当然,这特殊的163张彩号组合,肯定不会受G-tech
6 I3 u( y6 K1 L$ e% m# z$ W影响。问题是用163张彩票,$326,去赌$10奖金是否值得。8 A; k5 V9 p& [( {5 j6 L& y, t
如果在这时你老还是非赌不可,那么该如何赌呢?不同的人有不同的技术,如果你
& p' [6 b% P9 d4 D, [$ j没有白胡子老头托梦告诉你中奖号码,只能多在历史数据里下功夫了。9 ~8 _$ E P1 m, T! j- f, e8 f
说到彩票研究,会有很多人说是痴心妄想。
& H% |; B0 k* K# [' k0 _. b明白人会用概率理论来说明彩票是不可预测;* a" J% C4 N' R+ p
不明白人会说,如果你能预测,就先来中几千万;
7 K1 P8 C* ?7 }; ^$ c不明不白的人会说,中大奖的人都活不长,等等。
' B+ D/ I9 b+ K, T) W且不管这些不同人的心态,仅对彩票本身而论,要研究彩票,只能从历史数据着手,
4 q6 j" e5 z+ K$ y$ L" n前提是你要承认历史数据与下期中奖号码有某些联系。7 j. q9 C0 J" m
比如说第2527期彩票中奖号码是20 21 22 29 39 41,那么理论上第2528期的中奖
* d$ T6 U# a) X+ O号码于上期没有任何重复数字的几率是43.6%,有一个重复数字的几率是41.3%。
3 n5 p/ V2 M8 Y1 n+ ]5 N) F8 y对所有前2527期结果统计表明,每期与前一期没有重复数字的次数是1086,重复
4 ~1 @+ ?* h. I% q1的次数是:1047。另一方面,每期与20 21 22 29 39 41比较,没有重复数字的次
% `3 ]6 A" a) ]9 E数是1102,重复1的次数是:1040。这些统计结果显示基本与理论结果一致。1 C! Y: \5 D& \
明白人知道这里我想说明什么。
' b& A) p# ]3 W8 e7 i' A在第2528期中,不同的组合,其出现的机率是不一致的。比如,与2527期重复2或
" u6 f7 _0 C; u( V8 @$ B; n. |1 U) I大于2的组合,其出现机率要小于15.1%。承认历史数据与下期中奖号码有一定联系. u; ?& n: u, e
后,你可以设计不同的参数去分析,其中某些是非常有效的。大家分析同一个对象,
8 S5 |& `( {4 |; N+ s4 E但具体方法不同,其结论有天地之差。比如国内很多“专家”出书,分析奇偶,目前为
+ d4 Q3 A" }8 ?! o& [+ U7 w9 k止,没看到任何实用的分析方法。简单的通过近期奇数个数、偶数个数来判断下期
. v! E# A5 h) a$ Y1 t% c$ N奇偶分配,简直就是天方夜谭、痴人说梦。对具体的分析对象、分析方法的讨论,
$ t6 y% u, o: i- m: X有时间时再听俺下文分解俺自己的心得。也请各位高人帮助填补下面内容。$ ]" Q7 U& |% P) c( ]- \
小赌可以养家糊口,大赌可以救国救民。 |
|
|
|
|
|
|