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[seodescription] => 理论知识,玩法技巧,专业术语解释,迈向体育菠菜高手的摇篮!<br /><a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/thread-51289-1-1.html" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜新人必看】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=33" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜规则】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=34" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜心得】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=100" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜问题咨询】</font></a>
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此帖转贴,作者wloo (凉咖啡)
% Q9 q/ d* q( v# h0 ?Dubo不是好东西,盲目的赌真的会让你倾家荡产。但是如果你真能掌握其中某些实 M5 q- H# t& P0 A. p% ] W
质,结果也许真的会大不一样。5 x/ y9 y1 [$ z1 `
一个玩21点的,在掌握了提高3%的赢牌机率技术后,他一个晚上就能赢走90万多. Z6 I, W, f& s4 O S( P8 u
美元
$ c% T% g& F, r他凭自己的技术,要养家糊口是不成问题的。要说华尔街那些人能在某种程度上掌
' V6 k `. C, M1 N) `控国家经济,也是事实。他们所做的某些工作跟赌有紧密联系的。所以说,小赌可
2 k z$ N5 W$ v1 x% }. I以养家糊口,大赌可以救国救民,也不能算是痴人梦话。8 Y% }1 I+ K* k
Dubo有多种,这里只说赌彩,就是玩彩票。 有人说,彩票是愚者的Dubo,智者的游
" ~; y3 g! `/ @% h5 y1 N9 j* b7 _戏,我赞承这种说法。
! ~$ d2 V1 P! J! S; O! Q: x, B现在还没听说过什么人能用玩彩来养家糊口、救国救民,如果真能玩到这种境界,0 V+ i- U% X; n5 d, o @
也算世界状元了!但如果你非赌不可,就必须首先具备成熟的心理素质。
* ^( t- S; p$ T" ]5 m; |首先应该面对的是关于彩票公证性的挑战。
3 @& t9 Y) M8 B: A5 G( z# @; I玩彩前,每个人都要先问一个问题:彩票公司公正吗?出号真的是随机的吗?" [ s- f/ C' h
疑问1:现在世界上主要国家(包括加拿大,不包括天朝)的彩票公司都在用一种
5 S5 y5 b' a; @+ rG-tech技术保护,不敢对G-tech多说什么,只是在下面列出很多彩票玩家经常提出( p5 E0 n2 w& Z3 U( W% v# O
的一些与G-teck 有关的问题:0 o$ C, M- G& ~1 @1 @
* Why one organization called “G-TECH” behind the world lotteries?6 b E1 q1 g# n
Is it because those world governments cannot afford to buy the; W6 t+ r" }, x. R+ v$ d& u
equipment outright unless G-TECH supplies it to them?4 q9 [: W: l+ q1 Y/ _8 C* Y5 r
* Why G-TECH collect percentage of the profit from the local operators?
5 i* h) F7 s8 z/ V) v2 w( |* What more is in to lotteries apart from Machines and Balls?! K: k [( d$ v. `% K" Q0 C
Could it be software involved?+ q0 I3 V& B% M
* Why world data such as UK, France, Germany, Spain and even USA have the
$ j- P) W. L4 B' ~, s' b# A4 Tsame resemblance but never and ever match entirely?1 |3 t. G# U+ l3 O% z
* Why satellite terminals are involved if the draws are taking place locally,
9 T; ~4 d; J6 H. Y0 s0 x, Yis it because to transfer data back to G-TECH for calculations?6 d5 x% j; i x8 x& d; r0 H
* Why there is a minimum of half hour interval from the shut down of terminals
. {' M1 r5 H9 k, V. w- }+ xto the time draw takes place, what the organizers do during this time?" O# K' [3 o/ j) o+ n# Y
* How can the local organization running the lottery like Camelot in UK can take
" q7 k' H3 I/ _! M; R4 Vtheir share of sales (%50 I believe) before the draw takes place especially
7 E3 G4 E! f Kwhere there is a minimum prize of £10 guaranteed? ? How do they know how
3 j1 \/ Q' H3 g% @ z$ {5 gmany $10 winners there are to calculate their sums when there is a possibility+ x: u8 i) K0 R; g) p/ Z( P
of the number of £10 winners exceed from the total sales?
! W0 u. m' \: s' F r** 注:据说G-tect理论需要30分钟去完成某些“优化”计算# z3 `6 `9 [7 R& B2 j% N
** 注:理论上讲,过去的中奖号码最多在4500期后就会出现首次重复。* y, C$ y: [. \
疑问2:曾有人在某彩票玩家网站上贴出下面文字,后来经有心人查证,其作者IP2 Y7 r4 j2 T; v9 c
似乎是控制加拿大649、Super7的彩票公司,就是说是彩票公司内部的人发出的...
9 F( l2 p/ U$ GWinning numbers how there are selected- `5 z. x! b* b% S' n9 _/ i
This is the way we select the winning numbers:
G: z' t, p5 f9 @8 \1 sSelect "XXX' Numbers_set from Played_numbers
+ b$ m+ f& d3 @- Awhere Province_of_played='XXX' and city_of_played='XXX" and time_of_played='XXX'
7 E$ p/ g4 j; U, D& _2 i/ ~" r" @and Method_of_Played='XXXX'
9 j$ ?' \" r/ _* G* m7 sOn each ticket we record the place, the time and the way the numbers have been selected.# B H$ t. f4 G# H' ^" g
We run this query against all played sets.
+ a$ L5 c& A6 C# oWe then feed the drawing machine with the results, the outcome will always be what we want.0 X8 h3 P/ k8 G5 h q3 l/ A$ o
For example if we want to have a single winner from Ontario, who played quick pick we run- r7 f) \; |1 N0 e1 ^" ?: K
the following query:
% `* D5 o% Z/ x+ RSelect unique numbers_set from played_numbers, I, W# [4 x2 W$ M' E! B9 L6 a
where province_of_played='Ontario' and method_of_played='quick pick';/ }5 h) M- T9 n
It just takes less than 5 minutes to get the results.
1 b% `+ ?) D7 z2 w6 AWe prefer players wo play quick pick because our machine predict the numbers.3 Z9 _% \& J0 I8 m" ^* i
If we do not want a winner we run the following query:; W+ O# P9 x [- [# J
Select unique numbers_set from all_numbers_set where numbers_set not in played_numbers;
! E5 m* Q- p" B7 }$ w' C1 n上述英文是原文,没经过任何改动。
% m; ]. ?( f l8 P( V/ Z% ~) ^虽然此帖没明说是用在何种彩票上,但后来因为其作者IP的曝光(彩票公司内部人),) l0 X2 J: l6 Y" K2 p; V
很让人怀疑加拿大649、Super7的公正性。如果这是真的,很恐怖。
9 v1 d2 I# g. y2 k6 b3 g2 U' L疑问3:为什么现在加拿大彩票公司不实况转播摇奖过程,为什么加拿大彩票公司% Q" X6 l V/ Z, f
在停止售票1个半小时后才开始摇奖,而且每次摇奖只有几个人参与(一两个摇奖7 u' n" r3 Q- E) N3 k) N: g! X
人员加三两个摄录的技术人员)?; G& Y* E4 c5 k& P# }7 k1 N
为什么摇奖过程没有法律公证人员参与、证实?为什么所有玩家购买号不能在摇奖
, a# f' f6 j% a5 L- s- l. Y5 A前刻在一张非重写的光盘上(体现公正性方法之一)?等等,很多问题。 a/ h. y U( s1 C9 A9 o; T6 h2 Q
疑问4:为什么大多数情况下,“中奖者”信息不公开?(有人指出有很多未曝光的重
2 @* T3 N. {: v$ C* q复中彩者)
) t- E" }( A$ q" g为什么几年前安省649出号与同期加拿大649出号极其相像,远远超过其理论上的1 e& |9 u" l! u( x5 _7 ?
可能性?# ]3 v, K" C0 u4 ~! j1 k+ k
疑问5:为什么彩票公司很多公开年薪超过10万的工作人员,几乎所有人公开的Taxable& x" C$ b" d1 `! C" c+ \1 l8 ^, u$ U
Benefits只有不到200元?不用上税的Benefits有多少?$ ^3 ?- V5 R+ I7 {- {
下面附件里包括部分2003年OLGC年薪超过10万的Name、Position、Salary、4 P8 E3 g0 a: @9 q
Taxable Benefits。其实还有很多的疑问,但以上的疑问足以使一个成熟的人望而
. B8 x) X6 @* X* p% ?7 S w8 X止步。我个人的感觉,相比之下真正公正的彩票是天朝的彩票。如果你有成熟的心
, F% ]# x) g1 m' P* Y$ i% c理素质包容以上疑问,并且还坚持非赌不可,那么你还需要了解一些有关彩票的最
3 X2 {+ j& P* j( @& g6 [1 u" k基本的知识。
1 S" C5 L7 b3 r6 H8 B( d应该承认,通过适当的分析,是可以大幅度提高中奖机率的。虽然那个玩21点的,- \, o/ }1 e+ a! B& z% y* G3 y6 G
在掌握了提高3%的赢牌机率技术后,一个晚上就能赢走90万多美元,但是对彩票
5 \5 f. W# V2 d( S而言,却完全不是这样。其实对彩票研究而言,提高3%的中奖机率并不困难。比
, q9 P2 l, d! U* M4 x4 `如几周前,某人给出20个数字,说明是其后10次加拿大649最佳候选号。结果中5! r3 g) n% g. k: k5 p. y& B
个(或以上)中奖号至少3次以上。
! C/ ~, \2 `9 L) L理论上,49选20中5的几率是3.2153%,此人的结果提高30%以上的中奖机率。可' F) U# z! O. R2 ?' {
结果是他自己最多中了10块钱。原因很简单,彩票可能性的数据量太大,除了专业
0 x8 D! Q9 v: j0 s玩彩的,没有人会每期投入几十万。
9 `$ [: T. f* Q o! k20选6有38760种可能,20选5加另外29选1有449616种可能,每期花$976752,# A! z- |( B+ K+ f0 z' A
似乎专业玩彩的也不敢这样投。结论是即使你提高了30%的中奖机率,尤其是没有+ S6 j, Z% J9 K8 z! d. @
人敢100%保证它的号能每次都达到30%的中5个机率,如果每次买全可能号码,最
! A4 W3 }6 B2 z( f, V; c后你还有70%的机率是赔。
& E' u3 ~' @( s5 P即使用旋转矩阵选号,20中5保3也要20个以上,仍然赔。如果不自己选号,去quick
4 {4 Z- G! ?3 W$ l. S! h( D* Ipick,就是机选,那你几乎是没有什么机会的,即使是10块钱,你也会很难得到。. S7 O d0 J# Y8 D
且不说上面提到的G-tech保护,首先,理论上的中奖机率就少得很。理论上的机率
0 [; Q6 Z( i6 a& Z3 [' ]% a# |) ?5 S也不保证100%中奖机率。
/ V8 h5 \' ], [' V9 n举个具体的649的例子,中3的机率大概是1.765%(或1/57),但你买57张彩票,7 e5 }" L7 V+ u( Z
却不能100%的保证中3。如要100%的保证中3,现在的世界纪录是163,就是最少
1 b8 {" c7 e1 O买163张彩票(当然按特定组合了),才能100%的保证你中3个。如果你老能设计
5 m1 c: B* D: d S一种组合,用低于163的数额就能保证中3,可以去参加Lottery Wheeling
! B% [5 Q. G' h- P- e1 D2 q9 {6 mChallenge,也弄个青史留名。当然,这特殊的163张彩号组合,肯定不会受G-tech2 ]3 z( A2 V% P( G5 L9 \
影响。问题是用163张彩票,$326,去赌$10奖金是否值得。7 T6 t! M" d1 F2 m }" d& Y- v- U
如果在这时你老还是非赌不可,那么该如何赌呢?不同的人有不同的技术,如果你
7 g: E/ ]8 n$ }6 n/ A S/ s& k没有白胡子老头托梦告诉你中奖号码,只能多在历史数据里下功夫了。9 t) |+ a' E4 X( D* b% j. q: H N
说到彩票研究,会有很多人说是痴心妄想。
2 \9 I7 W/ [& Y8 Y3 w3 T明白人会用概率理论来说明彩票是不可预测;
" T) |0 p' F7 x7 N; ]% C不明白人会说,如果你能预测,就先来中几千万;" N5 U/ ^/ ~7 Y% Q7 e; O4 W
不明不白的人会说,中大奖的人都活不长,等等。6 d. }: r) @5 t: M, O
且不管这些不同人的心态,仅对彩票本身而论,要研究彩票,只能从历史数据着手,) a) ^* C+ f0 T3 u% I" r
前提是你要承认历史数据与下期中奖号码有某些联系。' D% b1 \4 N4 H
比如说第2527期彩票中奖号码是20 21 22 29 39 41,那么理论上第2528期的中奖1 i& Q x% o) K5 }" Y' D1 k$ S9 z
号码于上期没有任何重复数字的几率是43.6%,有一个重复数字的几率是41.3%。& H) I: k+ k* ~2 N0 V z
对所有前2527期结果统计表明,每期与前一期没有重复数字的次数是1086,重复
) o9 q' _4 l+ t" O. C) [* n1的次数是:1047。另一方面,每期与20 21 22 29 39 41比较,没有重复数字的次
: b6 \' x& G2 }0 Y, x8 H" n" l数是1102,重复1的次数是:1040。这些统计结果显示基本与理论结果一致。
% O r9 R+ a% X |* L9 j明白人知道这里我想说明什么。
# X4 @% f; h: r# U* G在第2528期中,不同的组合,其出现的机率是不一致的。比如,与2527期重复2或
: j6 U9 l% n3 P% K& y4 L0 L大于2的组合,其出现机率要小于15.1%。承认历史数据与下期中奖号码有一定联系" s; A8 Y' r& Y9 D* j5 m9 L- ]& _
后,你可以设计不同的参数去分析,其中某些是非常有效的。大家分析同一个对象, H- f& f" m1 e9 G# F
但具体方法不同,其结论有天地之差。比如国内很多“专家”出书,分析奇偶,目前为. a' C3 ^% ?! j* k3 r$ K# n* `
止,没看到任何实用的分析方法。简单的通过近期奇数个数、偶数个数来判断下期
c% G. U6 @' z1 [5 P奇偶分配,简直就是天方夜谭、痴人说梦。对具体的分析对象、分析方法的讨论,
2 l7 q: D+ V/ s2 n9 h$ ?有时间时再听俺下文分解俺自己的心得。也请各位高人帮助填补下面内容。% j& f5 d9 `& S( o( K# y
小赌可以养家糊口,大赌可以救国救民。 |
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