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方向对了、点位略微出现偏差。
8 G) b8 Y! T, B+ ^ g$ e: }& H" X现在要强调的并非熊市不言底、 6 z& @: u3 q9 C. h4 H
也不是cpi暴雷问题！
4 H" e E4 z, Q) D/ C& k- e
2 Q5 G- q: C: g$ v, Y+ F- r而是当本月最大利空落地后，市场依旧一泻千里。 + F: O* J+ u7 E8 ]/ d0 u
失守去年注水5.19低点后、以太再次以该支撑出现夭折行情。
" Z; G: a& b' C4 J; y! \+ j/ H三箭资本借以太利好、频繁加持，最终近20亿未偿还债务。
) G, T4 z; P- Z Y' N市场机构、除灰度外、其余任何机构基金都出现大幅比未实现亏损。及更多清算问题， ' J4 a% u' S/ [# |/ G
市场已不仅仅是恐慌问题。 : T- r* d, r9 v* w* m0 b5 ^; T( M
而是与美股对比、市场整体对加密的估值出现了动摇！
9 C# l, i% _( s除开泡沫多、市场会重新定义加密价值。
8 k, @. I& X( m' H0 h& ~8 z H3 o直白的说，
. P1 _9 }8 |; p, x市场借助这轮加息，重新洗牌。
0 L3 R4 I( i! l1 Y% K! w9 p: Z下一轮牛市，周期会十分长。
- w6 q; R2 {2 F4 x& r即使加息结束，69000高点，很难在下一轮牛市形成。
' d. v* e. E, E- R2 g3 w* _但切记，即使是这样，现货也不建议割肉。
( I- D+ w$ S1 R* K# e1 I; a' H被套躺平、长线布局等cpi稳定。
8 q! w0 D! ^& ?- [3 F! ^短线不追空，不抄底，反弹空。
* \& N* H# S: \4 q跟趋势走，跌透为止。 % q+ \' A. A6 }; h( _5 x0 G
老观点，周线实体阴线，未收下影。 ( Y1 ?1 }# D, X/ M! ^5 m
下周铁定惯性下行，收阳概率极低。
4 l1 J* \$ g- x3 a环境不允！氛围不允。利空之下，更无资金接力可能。
. A/ ?' w9 r& R% m$ Z; r, I% B夜里继续以反弹4小时近5日线做高空埋伏、 : |2 N) Y, F4 @7 _& t
大饼反弹至18900高空
6 C B3 a' M" Z/ _! Q补仓19100 防守19300
! M5 a- z- g6 d2 W. G目标18100-17950
( p3 _& I7 Q/ J. F! c破位17650
$ ^* o6 r) L5 Y持续下看至17000
- y, X8 ^/ H2 X1 C# i以太反弹至985-995高空补仓1018 " L$ D- {: A5 Y( `# U8 D& {! {+ q0 I6 }
防守1030
; D# W4 z5 D3 o0 L8 @7 u9 a目标910-890
; j1 Y$ B4 X; @: r9 I还没出现日线大幅度插针、将现阶段所有不利消息一次跌透。开空，仍不晚。 + p# S! K: Y0 k; @
熊市不言底，市场估值出现问题，新一轮洗牌。
, h, G% t5 g! G9 X/ l7 n s还有尾声机会。
, s" N1 o; G' o3 B7 H: B+ e再晚一点，就只能做横盘箱体。
$ ?$ N. m! I8 {1 _" W$ v# D来源：金色财经 |
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